Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Siena Saints (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x654a7eb89280f691ee846b1fc5f7f3315a93782ec10d25488d138f023a57446d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Siena Saintsof Siena Saints, Canisius Golden Griffins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 51c | 4,670$2,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367.63 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Siena Saints | 47c | 3,965$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.05 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 53c | 3,778$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.55 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Siena Saints | 51c | 1,998$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.26 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Siena Saints | 48c | 1,910$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.2 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Siena Saints | 49c | 459.97$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.76 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Siena Saints | 49c | 346.9$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.81 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Siena Saints | 49c | 262.07$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.43 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Siena Saints | 48c | 231$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Siena Saints | 48c | 203.87$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.01 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Siena Saints | 49c | 147$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 49c | 61.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f2…1255backed Siena Saints | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Siena Saints | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b0…b4f4backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 51c | 48.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe178…e480backed Siena Saints | 52c | 19.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Siena Saints (-8.5)this page
- Siena Saints vs. Canisius Golden GriffinsSiena Saints won
- Siena Saints vs. Canisius Golden Griffins: O/U 131.5Over won
- Siena Saints vs. Canisius Golden Griffins: O/U 132.5Over won
- Siena Saints vs. Canisius Golden Griffins: O/U 133.5Over won
- Siena Saints vs. Canisius Golden Griffins: O/U 134.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.