Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Siena Saints vs. Canisius Golden Griffins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce04527ef4a553abffccd33e78d592d19677abb1fc54445e975e520fedde6948
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Siena Saintsof Siena Saints, Canisius Golden Griffins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Siena Saints | 72c | 4,858$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.76 | 97 | 71.1%69 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 31c | 3,547$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.02 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x669a…9f3fbacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 20c | 2,043$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 57cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4d…cc04backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 20c | 1,989$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 23c | 1,957$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Siena Saints | 77c | 1,692$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.39 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…d999backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 20c | 1,342$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb289…c1a4backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 20c | 1,188$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ed…5fe5backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 20c | 1,138$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Siena Saints | 77c | 1,099$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.68 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8029…9b12backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 20c | 1,057$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 31c | 835.11$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.85 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a11…c525backed Siena Saints | 80c | 786$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -46%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Siena Saints | 80c | 776$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.31 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3be7…cd84backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 20c | 767$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…c36abacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 16c | 740$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…e1babacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 20c | 687$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…bdf2backed Siena Saints | 80c | 673$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bca…7d09backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 20c | 669$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8715…37f0backed Siena Saints | 80c | 669$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd165…7743backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 20c | 667$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2141…68f9backed Siena Saints | 80c | 657$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6e…19d0backed Siena Saints | 80c | 652$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be3…7180backed Siena Saints | 80c | 643$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…12e5backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 20c | 621$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…4948backed Siena Saints | 80c | 605$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb13…a48abacked Siena Saints | 80c | 602$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Siena Saints | 69c | 560$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.8 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d4…de0cbacked Siena Saints | 80c | 545$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b61…0cebbacked Siena Saints | 80c | 535$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6782…8f58backed Siena Saints | 80c | 507$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…5ebcbacked Siena Saints | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce97…cd59backed Siena Saints | 80c | 465$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ba…07a1backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 7c | 436.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9a…4215backed Siena Saints | 80c | 435$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bb…bff0backed Siena Saints | 80c | 412$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e6…8623backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 6c | 407.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x386f…3c28backed Siena Saints | 80c | 405$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 24c | 379.41$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.42 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…5de3backed Siena Saints | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 20c | 374.95$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.49 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf2…e56abacked Siena Saints | 80c | 370$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54da…fa4cbacked Siena Saints | 80c | 359$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf7…12e5backed Siena Saints | 80c | 352$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…13e4backed Siena Saints | 80c | 332$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…0726backed Siena Saints | 80c | 328$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 20c | 299.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3f…3f83backed Siena Saints | 80c | 294$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 33c | 268.1$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 9c | 268.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 20c | 253.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf9…2fc2backed Siena Saints | 80c | 251$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…4e12backed Siena Saints | 80c | 249$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 5c | 233.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…f560backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 30c | 233.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 23c | 217$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd378…7ec9backed Siena Saints | 80c | 167$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 20c | 160.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Siena Saints | 78c | 120.52$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Siena Saints | 64c | 114.03$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…217abacked Siena Saints | 70c | 107$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…2055backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 22c | 68.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Siena Saints | 74c | 67.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Siena Saints | 80c | 67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 21c | 59.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…0badbacked Siena Saints | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Siena Saints | 72c | 38.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Siena Saints | 73c | 36.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…a6bebacked Siena Saints | 80c | 27.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…380abacked Siena Saints | 80c | 26.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Siena Saints | 78c | 24.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5673…57e6backed Siena Saints | 80c | 22.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Siena Saints | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Siena Saints | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Siena Saints vs. Canisius Golden Griffinsthis page
- Siena Saints vs. Canisius Golden Griffins: O/U 131.5Over won
- Siena Saints vs. Canisius Golden Griffins: O/U 132.5Over won
- Siena Saints vs. Canisius Golden Griffins: O/U 133.5Over won
- Siena Saints vs. Canisius Golden Griffins: O/U 134.5Over won
- Spread: Siena Saints (-8.5)Siena Saints won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.