Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92fed78451b4ad77e339102b421771cdfb40c360eda19416ef767bdd0934d64d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $241,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $297,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6503…09f6backed Yes | 0c | 95,027$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.53 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…0685backed Yes | 0c | 20,992$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc683…ba10backed Yes | 0c | 7,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49e4…6db2backed Yes | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 2cpaid | +525%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4492…8b9abacked Yes | 1c | 3,494$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa331…29b9backed Yes | 1c | 3,027$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x584e…090fbacked No | 80c | 2,092$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.39 | 478 | 34.3%164 W · 314 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c45…7aa4backed Yes | 2c | 1,024$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a54…4ec0backed Yes | 2c | 1,020$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 2cpaid | +476.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…5410backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d38…824cbacked Yes | 76c | 798.7$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.88 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…3e9cbacked Yes | 67c | 790.91$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.15 | 833 | 32.1%267 W · 566 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587a…1d3cbacked Yes | 2c | 775$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…cdc0backed No | 59c | 721$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.1 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 2c | 693.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50bc…d38fbacked Yes | 72c | 547.94$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…dd08backed Yes | 62c | 527.69$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.26 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…1e4ebacked Yes | 4c | 524.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 321 | 47.4%152 W · 169 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 38c | 508.42$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.18 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 57c | 495.41$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.28 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…da82backed Yes | 58c | 428.3$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 49c | 416.7$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.18 | 172 | 43.6%75 W · 97 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 45c | 375.04$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.84 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…9f98backed No | 36c | 375.04$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.03 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 49c | 374.34$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.3 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 47c | 360.4$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.85 | 847 | 59.4%503 W · 344 L | +41.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…8a0abacked Yes | 64c | 349.19$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.65 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 45c | 305.62$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.33 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 45c | 293.97$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.34 | 1,022 | 30.6%313 W · 709 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa462…0fb2backed Yes | 60c | 250.21$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.11 | 119 | 20.2%24 W · 95 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d82…04dbbacked Yes | 37c | 249.4$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.68 | 102 | 27.5%28 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…989bbacked Yes | 40c | 223.24$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.41 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 20c | 217.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 656 | 25.8%169 W · 487 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 48c | 215.8$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.41 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 50c | 210.47$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.27 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf82…e079backed No | 24c | 207.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.12 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…06b0backed Yes | 58c | 201.72$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 187 | 27.3%51 W · 136 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdab3…3bf5backed Yes | 75c | 201.3$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.97 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 54c | 197$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.23 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00dc…d521backed Yes | 56c | 178.34$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.09 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6d…1358backed Yes | 52c | 175.01$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.66 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 43c | 157.15$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.95 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed Yes | 60c | 155$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked No | 40c | 155$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Yes | 70c | 150$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 43c | 146.04$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.75 | 344 | 57%196 W · 148 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cd…a24abacked No | 59c | 125.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 51c | 125.76$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -12.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf91d…d7cebacked No | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.75 | 263 | 39.9%105 W · 158 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e13…2ac4backed No | 50c | 124.79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…e069backed Yes | 65c | 123.43$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eee…bac2backed Yes | 52c | 110$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e3…4cc6backed Yes | 79c | 101.18$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce15…5c0abacked Yes | 56c | 100.03$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb009…b498backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0031…485abacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…6d18backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 959 | 42.4%407 W · 552 L | +84.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f2…09babacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7184…56d7backed Yes | 71c | 91.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 31c | 85.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe57…3920backed Yes | 56c | 83.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f84…6f7ebacked Yes | 60c | 83.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51e0…1f63backed Yes | 52c | 81.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf734…2b7ebacked Yes | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f2…1255backed No | 23c | 75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca9c…7311backed Yes | 65c | 74$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 36c | 68.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…10ebbacked Yes | 55c | 64.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 16c | 64.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0xd45d…583bbacked No | 51c | 60.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…ec88backed No | 23c | 60.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 559 | 19.1%107 W · 452 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce0…41abbacked Yes | 65c | 60.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9231…b267backed Yes | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 42c | 58.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb532…8577backed Yes | 69c | 57.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 191 | 33.5%64 W · 127 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa9…7a0ebacked Yes | 51c | 56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0f…2458backed No | 44c | 53.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…5b32backed Yes | 49c | 53.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x052e…ade1backed No | 45c | 52.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 283 | 29.3%83 W · 200 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 62c | 50.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31d…b920backed Yes | 59c | 50.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 180 | 35%63 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…8acbbacked No | 27c | 50.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…e4c5backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -10.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…c49ebacked No | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,110 | 65%722 W · 388 L | +38.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x383c…d1b8backed Yes | 54c | 49.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…398bbacked Yes | 57c | 49.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4198…d38fbacked Yes | 74c | 47.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 39c | 47.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 540 | 37.4%202 W · 338 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f1…02dfbacked Yes | 44c | 45.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked No | 34c | 44.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72c7…b332backed Yes | 46c | 43.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…8e0ebacked Yes | 55c | 42.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…50ebbacked Yes | 52c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 315 | 67%211 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a7…1686backed Yes | 55c | 41.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4b…50f8backed Yes | 48c | 41.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd0…9812backed Yes | 50c | 40.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…881ebacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd09a…a603backed Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 28?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on January 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on January 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C or below on January 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.