Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8d257449cdb5b9b1e36d40aea9565f15c39efeee9f60f07c14f798b61d582c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x252d…ad22backed No | 2c | 6,338$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.78 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc993…6a45backed No | 0c | 3,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d38…824cbacked No | 3c | 3,476$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.59 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…06b0backed Yes | 10c | 2,413$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,178.7 | 187 | 27.3%51 W · 136 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdab3…3bf5backed Yes | 59c | 1,670$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.81 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 7c | 1,409$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.26 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…9f98backed No | 25c | 1,405$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…3e9cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,401$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.25 | 833 | 32.1%267 W · 566 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 66c | 1,246$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.5 | 172 | 43.6%75 W · 97 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 64c | 1,134$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.57 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked No | 2c | 999.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 2cpaid | +476.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1d…c41dbacked Yes | 11c | 980$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf91d…d7cebacked Yes | 23c | 829.9$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.41 | 263 | 39.9%105 W · 158 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 8c | 819.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.68 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 38c | 787.59$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.55 | 656 | 25.8%169 W · 487 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb009…b498backed Yes | 62c | 778.35$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.69 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584e…090fbacked Yes | 65c | 679.4$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.25 | 478 | 34.3%164 W · 314 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed Yes | 12c | 626.21$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.13 | 495 | 43.6%216 W · 279 L | +31.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb532…8577backed Yes | 11c | 603.87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.55 | 191 | 33.5%64 W · 127 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…ec88backed Yes | 8c | 524.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.8 | 559 | 19.1%107 W · 452 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…cdc0backed Yes | 15c | 504.25$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.39 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 28c | 461.01$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.26 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 19c | 426.81$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.1 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa462…0fb2backed Yes | 9c | 395.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.14 | 119 | 20.2%24 W · 95 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4f…d890backed Yes | 11c | 352.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.37 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…2d4ebacked Yes | 9c | 328.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.26 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 17c | 315$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.05 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2742…1f7abacked Yes | 78c | 304.92$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.32 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +17.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x50bc…d38fbacked Yes | 46c | 303.57$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.57 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed Yes | 9c | 299.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 240 | 10%24 W · 216 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 16c | 299.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.99 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 10c | 277.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.71 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 21c | 264.56$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.88 | 1,022 | 30.6%313 W · 709 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65da…69d2backed Yes | 8c | 250.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.81 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 20c | 246.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.79 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b19…6b1cbacked Yes | 29c | 231.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.35 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 11c | 188.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.67 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…dec3backed Yes | 7c | 184.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 4cpaid | +367.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd72d…03e7backed Yes | 10c | 180$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +884.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…5b32backed Yes | 11c | 168.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.97 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 20c | 164.51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.42 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7184…56d7backed Yes | 14c | 162.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…b8e3backed No | 78c | 151.67$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.89 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 15c | 141.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.83 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…eda6backed Yes | 18c | 138$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e3…4cc6backed Yes | 16c | 132.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.74 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 22c | 130$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…27ecbacked No | 79c | 124.73$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed3…878abacked Yes | 9c | 115.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de5…c157backed Yes | 38c | 115$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.83 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes | 17c | 107.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.35 | 430 | 50.2%216 W · 214 L | +21.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4198…d38fbacked Yes | 17c | 107.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.6 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 17c | 100.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.67 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f7…7a0ebacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0031…485abacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed Yes | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 262 | 36.6%96 W · 166 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ad…3ad7backed Yes | 16c | 93.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 15c | 89.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.81 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed Yes | 17c | 86.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.81 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa393…c8debacked Yes | 18c | 86.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.45 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 14c | 84.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.58 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0c…ced7backed Yes | 20c | 84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +268.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7e…78b1backed Yes | 25c | 83.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 164 | 65.2%107 W · 57 L | +18.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x948d…1a11backed Yes | 52c | 82.24$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf734…2b7ebacked Yes | 14c | 80$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca9c…7311backed Yes | 14c | 74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b0…a3d5backed Yes | 29c | 71.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 29cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 34c | 71.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 540 | 37.4%202 W · 338 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…fef1backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd45d…583bbacked No | 73c | 61.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…47a3backed No | 77c | 51.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…6732backed Yes | 29c | 51.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5c…0398backed Yes | 32c | 48.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +217.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31d…b920backed Yes | 25c | 43.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 180 | 35%63 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 26c | 39.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf1…63c8backed No | 78c | 38.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…f481backed Yes | 47c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…8acbbacked Yes | 31c | 34.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…c252backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…9281backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…5cf7backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb0…1b9ebacked No | 71c | 16.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed No | 67c | 15.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…eaa5backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on January 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on January 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C or below on January 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.