Tennis · resolved market
Dallas Open: Marin Cilic vs Learner Tien
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf53e79eb82b386014d0924e41143dfa64cb6aefd0e442cbe520a58fe89764acd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cilicof Cilic, Tien
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $475,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $495,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $475,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe39d…e3dcbacked Tien | 42c | 200,000$84,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,999.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Cilic | 61c | 89,639$54,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,676.96 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cilic | 57c | 77,419$44,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,016.04 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cilic | 59c | 29,479$17,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,048.51 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cilic | 78c | 16,008$12,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,509.75 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Cilic | 62c | 13,616$8,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,174.08 | 1,188 | 48.9%581 W · 607 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cilic | 56c | 10,591$5,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,712.96 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Tien | 36c | 10,584$3,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,848.44 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Tien | 66c | 7,000$4,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,646.45 | 926 | 55.9%518 W · 408 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Tien | 44c | 6,925$3,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,041.56 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Tien | 70c | 5,590$3,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920.96 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Cilic | 31c | 5,459$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,793.36 | 1,634 | 50%817 W · 817 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Cilic | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Tien | 71c | 4,195$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,972.61 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Cilic | 63c | 4,056$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.56 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Tien | 41c | 3,685$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,444 | 48.8%705 W · 739 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Tien | 51c | 3,557$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.36 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Cilic | 36c | 3,541$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.15 | 780 | 52.7%411 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Tien | 67c | 3,100$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x241a…a9c8backed Tien | 43c | 3,098$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.99 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Cilic | 47c | 2,415$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.29 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Tien | 12c | 2,287$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.88 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Tien | 61c | 2,170$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.7 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Cilic | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 323 | 37.5%121 W · 202 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Cilic | 31c | 1,940$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.59 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Tien | 40c | 1,839$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1909…a2c9backed Tien | 41c | 1,839$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Tien | 39c | 1,801$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.39 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e0…375bbacked Cilic | 57c | 1,770$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.54 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Cilic | 75c | 1,764$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.78 | 1,151 | 44.4%511 W · 640 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Cilic | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 1,672 | 50.1%837 W · 835 L | +30.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Cilic | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Tien | 28c | 1,659$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.08 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Tien | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Tien | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cilic | 31c | 1,395$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.55 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cilic | 51c | 1,381$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.37 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked Tien | 67c | 1,304$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.41 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Tien | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 952 | 8.1%77 W · 875 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Tien | 64c | 1,138$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.39 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Cilic | 58c | 1,113$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.32 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc05e…c64dbacked Tien | 10c | 1,059$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.82 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Cilic | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Tien | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8348…de9fbacked Tien | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…5745backed Tien | 8c | 993.13$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Tien | 5c | 985.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cilic | 58c | 955.36$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.25 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Tien | 67c | 904.48$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606 | 623 | 45.4%283 W · 340 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Tien | 69c | 900$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.95 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…7852backed Tien | 72c | 881.14$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.01 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Cilic | 65c | 880.32$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.02 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Tien | 28c | 875$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 134 | 35.1%47 W · 87 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Tien | 58c | 869.24$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.16 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Cilic | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Tien | 70c | 857.14$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Cilic | 77c | 798.71$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.46 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Tien | 70c | 796.34$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Cilic | 31c | 782.64$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.27 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Cilic | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.25 | 1,257 | 56.6%711 W · 546 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a3…14f4backed Tien | 67c | 779.99$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.11 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tien | 27c | 720$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.94 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Tien | 17c | 700$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.96 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Tien | 43c | 694.89$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9d24backed Cilic | 58c | 667.86$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Cilic | 33c | 641.16$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.57 | 388 | 31.4%122 W · 266 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Cilic | 34c | 598.64$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.71 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tien | 40c | 589.98$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.69 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Tien | 46c | 540$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.8 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Cilic | 51c | 539.22$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.22 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Cilic | 29c | 513.35$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.48 | 4,070 | 39.7%1,617 W · 2,453 L | +92.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Tien | 70c | 502.8$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Tien | 34c | 502.6$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.48 | 1,377 | 16.3%224 W · 1,153 L | -109.7wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Tien | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,836 | 48.4%889 W · 947 L | -32.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…a473backed Cilic | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Tien | 70c | 488.2$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.34 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Tien | 42c | 474.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cilic | 35c | 474$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.1 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Cilic | 33c | 464$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.88 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d59…811bbacked Tien | 7c | 452.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cilic | 28c | 446$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.12 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…7708backed Tien | 45c | 445.99$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.49 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…7505backed Tien | 43c | 421.02$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.04 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Tien | 65c | 406.15$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Tien | 46c | 400$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tien | 42c | 393.11$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.21 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Tien | 37c | 372.31$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.85 | 924 | 48.7%450 W · 474 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…9b8cbacked Cilic | 31c | 370.54$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.67 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7e…7f73backed Tien | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Cilic | 34c | 355$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.3 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce4…62fcbacked Tien | 68c | 350$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Cilic | 58c | 320$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Cilic | 60c | 315.62$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Cilic | 38c | 313.16$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.16 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Tien | 65c | 311.52$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1ca9backed Tien | 66c | 310.15$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.29 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Cilic | 28c | 308.83$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.36 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Cilic | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 959 | 35.5%340 W · 619 L | -40.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Cilic | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Tien | 46c | 301.36$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Open: Marin Cilic vs Learner Tienthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Cilic vs TienCilic won
- Set Handicap: Tien (-1.5) vs Cilic (+1.5)Cilic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.