Tennis · resolved market
Argentina Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Mariano Navone
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07d0329b865b5b2fdb3f654c74e962a4329036144a50c5935126922d1256fd09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carabelliof Carabelli, Navone
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $258,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $295,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Navone | 43c | 38,795$16,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,610.91 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Carabelli | 77c | 18,182$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,182.01 | 274 | 60.2%165 W · 109 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Navone | 27c | 18,101$4,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,907 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Navone | 56c | 13,844$7,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,811.52 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Navone | 57c | 11,249$6,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,411.56 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Carabelli | 54c | 8,716$4,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990.93 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Carabelli | 43c | 8,243$3,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,703.87 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Carabelli | 69c | 7,500$5,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Carabelli | 71c | 6,769$4,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975.05 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Navone | 57c | 5,976$3,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,435.62 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Carabelli | 43c | 5,814$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,313.95 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Carabelli | 46c | 5,042$2,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730.12 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Carabelli | 69c | 4,964$3,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.06 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…5baebacked Carabelli | 42c | 4,757$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,758.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e0…375bbacked Navone | 59c | 4,551$2,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,679.37 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Navone | 29c | 3,801$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.42 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…919bbacked Navone | 58c | 3,715$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Navone | 43c | 3,600$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ba…bbb6backed Carabelli | 43c | 3,053$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.49 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Carabelli | 79c | 2,863$2,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.31 | 202 | 57.4%116 W · 86 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f8bcbacked Carabelli | 44c | 2,589$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.06 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Navone | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Navone | 22c | 2,337$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.37 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Carabelli | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 234 | 29.9%70 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Carabelli | 43c | 2,268$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Carabelli | 43c | 1,884$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.5 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77a…ce3cbacked Navone | 9c | 1,787$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Carabelli | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb62f…6836backed Navone | 1c | 1,600$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Carabelli | 77c | 1,548$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.03 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | -27.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Carabelli | 57c | 1,496$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.11 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Carabelli | 56c | 1,374$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.48 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Carabelli | 57c | 1,354$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.55 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d04…d4d9backed Navone | 30c | 1,349$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Navone | 57c | 1,193$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Carabelli | 43c | 1,161$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.31 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Carabelli | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Carabelli | 42c | 988.5$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.33 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Carabelli | 44c | 843.18$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.18 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Carabelli | 43c | 833.26$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.26 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Carabelli | 53c | 781$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.07 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Carabelli | 60c | 765$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.54 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Navone | 28c | 729.95$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.75 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…9d85backed Carabelli | 43c | 663.02$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.92 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…d6c9backed Navone | 18c | 660.84$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 153 | 24.8%38 W · 115 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Navone | 3c | 649$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Navone | 45c | 642.63$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.8 | 352 | 48.6%171 W · 181 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Carabelli | 79c | 590$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.9 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Navone | 59c | 539$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.01 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Navone | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…4a23backed Navone | 2c | 523.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedff…bf60backed Navone | 58c | 508.62$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ec…b81ebacked Carabelli | 54c | 500$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.29 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Carabelli | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x579b…4a2bbacked Carabelli | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Carabelli | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Carabelli | 58c | 420$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.8 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Carabelli | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Carabelli | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 186 | 36%67 W · 119 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Carabelli | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Carabelli | 44c | 363.64$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.64 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Navone | 58c | 350$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad1…2030backed Navone | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Carabelli | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fd…abf9backed Carabelli | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.57 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Navone | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b5…60d5backed Navone | 9c | 262.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Navone | 57c | 238.09$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.28 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Carabelli | 42c | 237.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.57 | 136 | 52.9%72 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…e7babacked Carabelli | 43c | 232.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.7 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…5397backed Navone | 58c | 226.34$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.04 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Carabelli | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Navone | 59c | 189.83$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Carabelli | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Navone | 9c | 177.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Navone | 19c | 176.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Navone | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Navone | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Carabelli | 42c | 168$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Navone | 27c | 163.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 333 | 26.4%88 W · 245 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Carabelli | 59c | 156$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…06cbbacked Carabelli | 44c | 155.16$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.89 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60d…761abacked Navone | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a1…4dbdbacked Carabelli | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Carabelli | 64c | 132.12$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2608…34c1backed Carabelli | 44c | 131.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8f…8ed0backed Carabelli | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Navone | 26c | 124.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Navone | 26c | 124.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c60…2227backed Carabelli | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | -10.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Navone | 25c | 119.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Navone | 58c | 118.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +8.4wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…fd97backed Navone | 58c | 118.95$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…64eebacked Carabelli | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Navone | 57c | 113$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.78 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Carabelli | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Carabelli | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Carabelli | 49c | 95.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Navone | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Navone | 59c | 89.3$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Mariano Navonethis page
- Carabelli vs. Navone: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Carabelli vs. Navone: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Set Handicap: Navone (-1.5) vs Carabelli (+1.5)Carabelli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.