TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9b97…64ee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST4269%29 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexican Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Coleman Wongbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+47.1%+$14.12
Merida Open Akron: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Chile Open: Francisco Comesana vs Pedro Martinezbacked Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+57.1%+$26.83
Dubai Tennis Championships: Quentin Halys vs Jack Draperbacked Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+38.9%+$41.61
Mexican Open, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Coleman Wongbacked Kypson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+28.2%+$28.49
Delray Beach Open: Zachary Svajda vs Frances Tiafoebacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+58.1%+$9.3
Delray Beach Open: Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paulbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$113
Rio Open: Jaime Faria vs Sebastian Baezbacked Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$102
Rio Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Mariano Navonebacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+47.8%+$47.83
Rio Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Francisco Comesanabacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+53.8%+$21.54
Rio Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+40.9%+$51.19
Rio Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Emilio Navabacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+39.9%+$31.93
Rio Open: Cristian Garin vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+69.5%+$25.02
Qatar Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Juncheng Shangbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.65
Qatar Open: Valentin Royer vs Pierre-Hugues Herbertbacked Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+49.3%+$12.31
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Ben Sheltonbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Qatar Open, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Billy Harrisbacked Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+37%+$11.1
Argentina Open: Sebastian Baez vs Luciano Darderibacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+66.7%+$25.33
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Marin Cilicbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Rotterdam Open: Alexander Bublik vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+52.6%+$41
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Ugo Humbertbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+47.1%+$13.65
Argentina Open: Pedro Martinez vs Luciano Darderibacked Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Argentina Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Sebastian Baezbacked Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.41
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+203%+$44.67
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$25.57
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-40.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$35.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+122.2%+$18.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+63.9%+$20.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+38.9%+$20.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.