TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rio Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Emilio Nava

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tabiloof Tabilo, Nava
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,662
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$129,209

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,662 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1433…56a0backed Nava35c28,229$9,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,880.1610541%43 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Tabilo65c20,097$13,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,034.956552.3%34 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Nava35c11,064$3,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,872.431332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Tabilo65c10,000$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,50043051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nava23c9,564$2,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,212.482,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Tabilo65c6,777$4,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,403.9293055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nava2c5,037$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.786,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d3…6c86backed Tabilo71c4,027$2,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.49875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Nava1c3,902$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.162,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nava22c3,854$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.447,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Nava34c3,712$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.111,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Tabilo77c3,251$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.336968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Tabilo65c3,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0506350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3905…82fcbacked Tabilo77c2,844$2,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.715563.6%35 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Nava24c2,625$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.5381349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Nava36c2,465$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.5278152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Nava46c2,337$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.0238133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea3…b910backed Tabilo66c1,894$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.944658.7%27 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tabilo78c1,702$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.798,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce6…2e69backed Tabilo66c1,648$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.483554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18ea…f93bbacked Tabilo74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.49560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Tabilo74c1,349$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.4148851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Nava35c1,348$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.7776146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Tabilo65c1,200$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42011843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Nava30c1,190$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.724637.4%92 W · 154 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Tabilo72c1,172$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.171,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Nava2c1,090$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.811,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Nava25c1,056$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.5852037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Tabilo65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35011353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf07a…9bb2backed Nava12c989$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Nava33c797$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.0124340.3%98 W · 145 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5519…fa9bbacked Tabilo67c749.86$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.32475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Tabilo66c606.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.061,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed Tabilo65c600$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21013560.7%82 W · 53 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x797f…c983backed Tabilo66c539.53$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.44785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+36.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1fd…abf9backed Tabilo65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1758762.1%54 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Nava35c482$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.871,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Tabilo78c478$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.321,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Tabilo65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5420257.4%116 W · 86 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Nava27c422.66$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.6249143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nava26c388.37$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.982,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb227…7553backed Tabilo79c379.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.756445.3%29 W · 35 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Nava33c379$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.077,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed Tabilo66c378.79$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7910640.6%43 W · 63 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Tabilo63c357.8$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.975860.3%35 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Tabilo67c342$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3297046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0edc…59b1backed Tabilo65c323$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9aa…67e1backed Nava37c315.38$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.389950.5%50 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0576…b90ebacked Tabilo65c306.15$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.15666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2304…6541backed Tabilo65c303.66$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.33458.8%20 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Nava12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364250%21 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a1…403ebacked Tabilo66c290.44$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.751266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Tabilo65c288.73$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.6219452.1%101 W · 93 L-13.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9266…8f3cbacked Tabilo79c285$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9925556.1%143 W · 112 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Nava37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nava35c265.1$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.751,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Nava34c249.77$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9218548.1%89 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Nava7c223.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.641,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Tabilo65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7047639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ec…b81ebacked Tabilo66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686259.7%37 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Nava16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae31…c586backed Nava35c194$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.94548.9%22 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Tabilo65c193.85$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8565652.1%342 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Nava35c192.87$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.821,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd7c…3a6abacked Tabilo66c181.45$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.452564%16 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Nava34c180.86$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.97,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Nava29c173.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.745521.8%12 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-38.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x94e4…6be5backed Tabilo65c160.61$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.611464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0483…483bbacked Tabilo66c158.71$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.966955.1%38 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Nava34c157.53$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.876,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd36a…ecf5backed Tabilo65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.855100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56fa…41c2backed Tabilo65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.85366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x725d…e49abacked Tabilo65c153.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.645048%24 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a37…7b01backed Tabilo66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.522454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0676…f0f0backed Tabilo66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5220552.7%108 W · 97 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x708d…e82bbacked Tabilo66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc930…64d9backed Tabilo66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80bb…ea80backed Tabilo66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Nava34c145.5$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4722747.6%108 W · 119 L+14.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x346a…892bbacked Tabilo70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.862045%9 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nava20c126.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.47,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd8…39b1backed Tabilo65c120.72$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7218248.9%89 W · 93 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5661…6323backed Tabilo74c115.96$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1510267.6%69 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Tabilo77c113.81$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.543,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x411c…bb45backed Tabilo66c113.64$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.642250%11 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b97…64eebacked Tabilo71c111.93$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.934269%29 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb4c…1ca9backed Tabilo65c110.63$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4915363.4%97 W · 56 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Nava35c103.3$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.161,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Tabilo66c103.12$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0614949.7%74 W · 75 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Tabilo65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3524060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Nava34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Tabilo65c99.13$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.715244.1%67 W · 85 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Tabilo66c93.94$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9484736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Tabilo65c93.85$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.859870.4%69 W · 29 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbca4…e4e7backed Tabilo66c90.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.918350.6%42 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Tabilo65c90$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.558753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Nava34c88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9260240.5%244 W · 358 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Tabilo66c87.88$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8830053.3%160 W · 140 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Tabilo64c85.94$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9425950.2%130 W · 129 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ae9…facabacked Tabilo65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9219856.1%111 W · 87 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.