TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rio Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Burruchagaof Carabelli, Burruchaga
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$131,424
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$134,537

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,424 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5aa9…febebacked Carabelli26c20,981$5,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,557.341,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Burruchaga73c16,938$12,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,623.9911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Burruchaga75c14,660$11,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,639.8793055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Carabelli56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6006552.3%34 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Carabelli29c7,897$2,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,313.619541.1%39 W · 56 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Burruchaga44c6,718$2,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,762.084346.5%20 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Carabelli27c6,597$1,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.024,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Burruchaga72c6,142$4,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,747.5681349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Burruchaga69c5,692$3,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,768.757,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Carabelli30c5,460$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.771,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Carabelli34c4,660$1,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,564.12,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0ce…99f6backed Carabelli38c4,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50017936.9%66 W · 113 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Carabelli58c3,471$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.841645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Burruchaga44c3,027$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,695.0678152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3905…82fcbacked Burruchaga79c2,544$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.425563.6%35 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Burruchaga42c2,120$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.741,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Carabelli24c2,061$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.42,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Burruchaga68c2,002$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.552,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57ba…d369backed Carabelli55c1,820$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0018053.8%43 W · 37 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked Carabelli29c1,547$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.888825%22 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Burruchaga47c1,131$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.941,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Burruchaga55c1,092$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.981,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Burruchaga63c1,080$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.552,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Carabelli31c1,037$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.11,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5d…4183backed Burruchaga45c898.25$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.2514250.7%72 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Carabelli55c796.64$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.1543051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Burruchaga44c701.87$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.6343042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Burruchaga45c614$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.061,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Burruchaga70c577.49$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.6688455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Burruchaga76c512.13$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.6710348.5%50 W · 53 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe358…0de0backed Carabelli39c508.08$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.621060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cf4…ed22backed Burruchaga43c499.99$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.9918447.3%87 W · 97 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+26.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Carabelli58c472.41$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27465651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Carabelli17c450$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7612722%28 W · 99 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+55.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc49f…e88ebacked Carabelli47c422.22$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002564%16 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Burruchaga61c400$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15524060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Carabelli44c389.04$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17013356.4%75 W · 58 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Carabelli54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Carabelli24c335.93$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.86,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Burruchaga45c334.92$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.921,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Carabelli22c332.32$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1112627.8%35 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Burruchaga43c332$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.241,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Carabelli57c326.34$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18650364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Burruchaga70c326.31$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0549143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Burruchaga67c313$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.661953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Carabelli32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Carabelli50c280$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14037339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Burruchaga44c270.73$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.677,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Burruchaga45c250$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.54,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Burruchaga71c239.2$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.598,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x725d…e49abacked Carabelli46c219.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005048%24 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9da2…ed3abacked Carabelli57c217.54$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12410668.9%73 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Burruchaga44c204.98$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.791,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4fa…f25ebacked Carabelli56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11217840.4%72 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd61…0002backed Carabelli53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1067040%28 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Carabelli44c199.04$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb52e…cdcebacked Burruchaga75c196.98$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2419043.7%83 W · 107 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0676…f0f0backed Carabelli57c194.82$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0520552.7%108 W · 97 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Burruchaga44c193.35$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.3526853.7%144 W · 124 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f46…4f2bbacked Carabelli53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001650%8 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Carabelli51c186.27$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9569350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Carabelli55c180$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9927344.7%122 W · 151 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…64eebacked Burruchaga71c176.19$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.194269%29 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed Carabelli58c173.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038951.9%202 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Carabelli57c173$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.41,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Burruchaga46c171.46$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5948552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9aa…67e1backed Burruchaga40c161.77$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.469950.5%50 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Carabelli56c150.12$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0733241.6%138 W · 194 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Burruchaga47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.51,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Carabelli29c147.21$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6968026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Burruchaga37c146.48$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8231753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46d2…a7f7backed Carabelli53c145.28$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick69cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f9d…61fcbacked Carabelli67c127.26$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Carabelli39c126.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Carabelli63c123.09$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0413138.9%51 W · 80 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Burruchaga46c119.57$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5725950.2%130 W · 129 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Burruchaga44c104.06$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.11,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Burruchaga46c100.1$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.133,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Carabelli27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6358438.2%223 W · 361 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Carabelli55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5525051.2%128 W · 122 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Carabelli55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5540744%179 W · 228 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x751b…90fbbacked Carabelli50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020758%120 W · 87 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Burruchaga33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Burruchaga47c99.98$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.991,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Carabelli30c92.47$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.623,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Burruchaga44c90.4$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0553058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd538…057dbacked Carabelli55c90.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed Carabelli56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509669.8%67 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Carabelli53c81.88$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.47,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a52…06cbbacked Carabelli49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017056.5%96 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Burruchaga53c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.216,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Burruchaga38c76.96$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7199056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Burruchaga51c70$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.31,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Burruchaga43c70$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.960240.5%244 W · 358 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabbf…126cbacked Burruchaga43c70$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.911050%55 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f99…a609backed Carabelli56c67.04$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.543948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Burruchaga43c64.72$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8912450.8%63 W · 61 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf303…7ee6backed Carabelli57c61.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3513066.9%87 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x59d0…a871backed Burruchaga44c56.81$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8117354.3%94 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Carabelli47c55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.854,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.