NBA · resolved market
Will Team T-Mac win the 2026 NBA Rising Stars Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cb47f763ca184ca921cd3822d40fb87f1c46e003acddf1e9c0becf24306147c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 71c | 10,590$7,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.5 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 29c | 8,784$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.71 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Yes | 27c | 5,000$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.5 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked No | 75c | 1,076$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.09 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 74c | 631.17$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.59 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 75c | 449.78$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.44 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…3bfbbacked Yes | 5c | 363.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 196 | 49%96 W · 100 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 63c | 254.05$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Yes | 29c | 196$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 32c | 190.53$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Yes | 48c | 155.49$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed Yes | 35c | 143.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Yes | 33c | 122.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…0320backed Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff59…dc24backed Yes | 36c | 82.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…64eebacked Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd617…496abacked Yes | 37c | 64.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Yes | 41c | 63.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3940…9e72backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 300 | 44.3%133 W · 167 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38d9…1efebacked Yes | 33c | 52.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…8663backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Team T-Mac win the 2026 NBA Rising Stars Championship?this page
- Will Team Austin win the 2026 NBA Rising Stars Championship?No won
- Will Team Melo win the 2026 NBA Rising Stars Championship?No won
- Will Team Vince win the 2026 NBA Rising Stars Championship?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.