NBA · resolved market
Will Team Vince win the 2026 NBA Rising Stars Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc146194875a1b0448c5e63f8924c0b99c21fe39a60db00705743a71566f3c08e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 19c | 4,997$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050.54 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 80c | 2,702$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.33 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 2c | 1,500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 76c | 943$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.48 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 33c | 496.79$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.51 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 15c | 409.18$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.33 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 59c | 344.07$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.77 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…b09dbacked Yes | 22c | 272.73$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.73 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed No | 54c | 166$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.19 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ca…0f8cbacked Yes | 45c | 123.7$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 21c | 120.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.25 | 164 | 31.7%52 W · 112 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…14cebacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…fb0fbacked Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…44d3backed Yes | 46c | 43.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 284 | 55.3%157 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 78c | 38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38d9…1efebacked Yes | 41c | 33.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 67c | 28.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Team Vince win the 2026 NBA Rising Stars Championship?this page
- Will Team Austin win the 2026 NBA Rising Stars Championship?No won
- Will Team Melo win the 2026 NBA Rising Stars Championship?No won
- Will Team T-Mac win the 2026 NBA Rising Stars Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.