Venezuela · resolved market
Will there be eleven or more announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1d23181b3f6168b5e567aaf5e0c5e7cb2aaffbe0bac5acaa3c721b3d5ffe1af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 17c | 5,043$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.33 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 35c | 3,394$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.66 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 79c | 3,228$2,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.31 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 77c | 2,805$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.92 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…4daebacked Yes | 29c | 2,150$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.55 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…99f3backed Yes | 10c | 1,525$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 12c | 1,085$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.95 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 29c | 1,077$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.05 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 4c | 842.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 61c | 831.11$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.76 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…3256backed Yes | 55c | 686.98$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.84 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 22c | 611.27$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.45 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…ab3abacked No | 67c | 565$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked No | 67c | 484.52$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.42 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 21c | 439.42$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.78 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ff…482bbacked Yes | 6c | 342.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 65c | 311.26$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.85 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked No | 59c | 307.08$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.35 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +53%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 44c | 298.37$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.39 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca9c…7311backed Yes | 10c | 295$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 7c | 275.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697d…4080backed No | 36c | 274.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -45%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 18c | 271.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 124 | 25.8%32 W · 92 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…5267backed Yes | 7c | 266.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed Yes | 13c | 252.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 18c | 244.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.81 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed No | 78c | 210.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 27c | 208.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3d…4dc6backed No | 68c | 205.54$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 47c | 204.24$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.21 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 32c | 201.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59cd…716fbacked Yes | 50c | 200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…774fbacked Yes | 6c | 180.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 71c | 171.45$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.08 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f99…c32ebacked Yes | 6c | 170$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae6…7485backed Yes | 26c | 164.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…d94fbacked No | 61c | 163.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 62c | 157.58$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.18 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 13c | 147.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc68d…ec12backed No | 34c | 145.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -37%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 14c | 145.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 7c | 143.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 57c | 133.84$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 80c | 131.32$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Yes | 14c | 125.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes | 53c | 123.85$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +106%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…8880backed No | 67c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x297c…71f3backed Yes | 43c | 118.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 34c | 116.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d38…d383backed Yes | 26c | 110$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…5fddbacked No | 74c | 108$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 78c | 106$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…94aabacked Yes | 76c | 104.44$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…64eebacked Yes | 49c | 102.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…385dbacked No | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…324ebacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x706c…7752backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +1,596.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 27c | 94.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfad0…f4aebacked Yes | 33c | 89.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes | 14c | 86.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 30cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b00…3b6bbacked Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3336…87adbacked No | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 16c | 79.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 26c | 77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cf…bc81backed No | 47c | 76.64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c6…1f12backed No | 56c | 71.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked Yes | 16c | 70.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 59c | 68.64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 18c | 67.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 24c | 65.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…527cbacked No | 36c | 62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…ea55backed No | 63c | 61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffde…219dbacked No | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…71efbacked Yes | 36c | 55.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…f8dcbacked No | 79c | 55.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…3233backed No | 55c | 54.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed Yes | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…3681backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951a…3bf0backed No | 59c | 45.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…8ea6backed No | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f9…f6c4backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 63c | 39.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 67 | 71.6%48 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2010…18febacked No | 69c | 39.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60d6…81c4backed Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…fca7backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a6…8e49backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34c0…fa1ebacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23a8…8004backed No | 46c | 23.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…fa0fbacked No | 61c | 23.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82e…b971backed No | 49c | 22.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 48cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b2…b7febacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…b449backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83f…4611backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will there be eleven or more announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?this page
- Will there be five or six announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?No won
- Will there be nine or ten announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?No won
- Will there be one or two announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?No won
- Will there be seven or eight announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will there be three or four announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?No won
- Will there be zero announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.