Venezuela · resolved market
Will there be five or six announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4551b6e21df4ef79a2ecbd5993b92b7cdb3291261bbd52707b14f5455512397
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb25c…6d89backed Yes | 20c | 1,088$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…99f3backed No | 76c | 1,082$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.35 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…f15fbacked No | 59c | 1,034$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +341.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7f…8a2dbacked No | 18c | 1,032$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +175%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed Yes | 41c | 785$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 6c | 771.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…cd55backed No | 80c | 715$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +319.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked No | 75c | 649.74$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.18 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…29debacked No | 66c | 646$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…bab6backed Yes | 27c | 644$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd1…2bb3backed No | 73c | 644$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…6cfebacked Yes | 15c | 643$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -74%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 29c | 640.07$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 42c | 620.01$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.41 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b2…9ae2backed Yes | 16c | 609$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 22c | 554.12$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 5c | 528.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed Yes | 15c | 498$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…3888backed Yes | 15c | 495$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…6452backed Yes | 7c | 492.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…5aaebacked No | 72c | 482$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 14c | 461.61$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.23 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2566…7d60backed No | 59c | 444$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2971…b901backed Yes | 41c | 444$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e6…2f95backed No | 30c | 430.82$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 39c | 416.72$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.48 | 124 | 25.8%32 W · 92 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9151backed Yes | 16c | 415$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…5b18backed Yes | 16c | 413$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…a0c9backed Yes | 16c | 411$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 46c | 386.92$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3d…4dc6backed Yes | 5c | 383.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 40c | 370.98$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.65 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 15c | 370.53$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…4daebacked No | 49c | 350$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.25 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4eb…86b9backed No | 51c | 310$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…ed2bbacked Yes | 49c | 310$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3473…8c3dbacked Yes | 16c | 303.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e6…315ebacked Yes | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…b842backed Yes | 16c | 293$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 5c | 290.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…ca2bbacked No | 68c | 277.17$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cae…c0eebacked Yes | 28c | 271$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked Yes | 16c | 251$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed Yes | 41c | 249$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f4…9073backed Yes | 18c | 242.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18fa…3730backed Yes | 28c | 242$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde2b…73a0backed No | 72c | 242$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b2…567cbacked Yes | 16c | 232$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…14bdbacked No | 57c | 230$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked No | 78c | 225$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +180.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…b2fabacked No | 78c | 212$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91af…95c8backed Yes | 28c | 211$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…ea40backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8885…5792backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a9…faebbacked No | 77c | 196.12$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…5267backed Yes | 30c | 188.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…1ff0backed Yes | 22c | 187$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked Yes | 22c | 174$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 18c | 170.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…f8dcbacked Yes | 63c | 153.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 17c | 150.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5986…83e3backed No | 69c | 150$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +275.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x195a…9442backed Yes | 65c | 149.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 10c | 145.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 72c | 143.47$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8063…b886backed Yes | 24c | 130$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +8.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…6b99backed Yes | 16c | 123$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes | 12c | 123$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +106%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 31c | 119.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +63%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 76c | 105$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a7a9backed Yes | 16c | 101$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0989…1b82backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +53%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 33c | 94.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…5fddbacked Yes | 68c | 89.79$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 13c | 77.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x434c…4c7dbacked Yes | 29c | 75.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 22c | 73.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…5784backed No | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…a315backed Yes | 41c | 69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 76c | 67.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 67 | 71.6%48 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 29c | 65.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c5…dcb1backed Yes | 22c | 63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a7…46c4backed Yes | 42c | 62.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d38…d383backed No | 73c | 60.76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…3681backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2010…18febacked Yes | 68c | 59.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…71efbacked Yes | 20c | 56.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 67c | 50.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…3256backed Yes | 30c | 50.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 71c | 45.92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2825…7749backed Yes | 39c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 30c | 43.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +129.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 37c | 32.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…8c45backed No | 71c | 28.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed Yes | 56c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 45cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed Yes | 59c | 25.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 66c | 18.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 55c | 18.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cea…fb1abacked Yes | 66c | 16.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will there be five or six announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?this page
- Will there be eleven or more announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?No won
- Will there be nine or ten announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?No won
- Will there be one or two announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?No won
- Will there be seven or eight announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will there be three or four announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?No won
- Will there be zero announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.