Venezuela · resolved market
Will there be seven or eight announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde22c4daf15e3ee544236dc23d71e3685a0bcf0c433a809cba4cac57bc577b33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe194…9016backed Yes | 20c | 12,677$2,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,154.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +402.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…4daebacked No | 50c | 1,439$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.49 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 16c | 1,418$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.75 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6943backed Yes | 18c | 1,168$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…34e0backed No | 78c | 1,129$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 52c | 1,085$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.32 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…bacbbacked Yes | 18c | 968.98$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fd…b6c8backed Yes | 69c | 902.6$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…b5cebacked Yes | 20c | 890$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +150%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae18…1132backed No | 80c | 876$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 78cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked Yes | 18c | 843$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafea…230bbacked Yes | 22c | 798$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +348.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked No | 80c | 797$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked Yes | 18c | 732$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +497.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2111…667fbacked Yes | 18c | 728$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +286.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…29debacked Yes | 15c | 694$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.98 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 25c | 640.07$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.43 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed Yes | 22c | 637$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…891fbacked Yes | 18c | 607$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +243.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…d4f7backed Yes | 18c | 577$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +318.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…c453backed Yes | 12c | 574$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +726.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea4…2bd2backed Yes | 72c | 566.92$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed Yes | 22c | 563$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +124.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…ca2bbacked No | 65c | 553.72$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…e59abacked No | 77c | 552$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…69d2backed Yes | 12c | 513$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed No | 80c | 502$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…a498backed Yes | 18c | 497$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +129%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…c285backed Yes | 18c | 463$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…a5b8backed Yes | 24c | 443$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +269%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…aeb8backed Yes | 18c | 441$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19dd…8f24backed Yes | 16c | 434.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 32cpaid | +173.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…5adebacked No | 78c | 434$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…8ab8backed Yes | 21c | 428$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +367.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 20c | 413.69$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +63%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168e…aa56backed No | 78c | 390$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…b842backed Yes | 22c | 387$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…75e7backed Yes | 18c | 353$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.76per pick | 25cpaid | +339.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked Yes | 19c | 342$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…305bbacked No | 78c | 341$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…bf74backed No | 78c | 339$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…b301backed Yes | 20c | 338$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 24cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…9a60backed Yes | 18c | 336$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc771…e858backed Yes | 18c | 327$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked Yes | 20c | 301$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca9c…7311backed Yes | 67c | 295$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…5c80backed Yes | 22c | 286$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +124.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…09adbacked No | 78c | 286$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…05d2backed No | 80c | 278$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbec…8dccbacked Yes | 15c | 257$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb683…b8f7backed No | 23c | 253.07$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…4943backed Yes | 77c | 253.07$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc9…5856backed Yes | 18c | 253$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 22c | 251.81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.51 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…19bebacked Yes | 20c | 246$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +161.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa947…ed41backed No | 23c | 228.81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef83…ad35backed Yes | 77c | 228.81$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 33c | 227.59$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.06 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…cb02backed Yes | 12c | 224$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +726.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…f5bebacked Yes | 22c | 214$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +124.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…ebedbacked Yes | 18c | 212$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…a751backed Yes | 19c | 205$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +235.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 20c | 202.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.03 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed No | 80c | 200$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 69cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked Yes | 15c | 198$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +166.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…1ac1backed No | 23c | 192.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b63…d390backed Yes | 78c | 192.24$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 17c | 165.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.65 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde23…62e9backed Yes | 22c | 164$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +124.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…a9b3backed No | 23c | 160.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…0401backed Yes | 77c | 160.37$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes | 12c | 150.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +106%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…4c23backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…f745backed Yes | 20c | 147$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…0bd4backed No | 22c | 146.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…9767backed Yes | 78c | 146.57$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62c…b86cbacked No | 24c | 145.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…cbc3backed Yes | 76c | 145.22$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…4789backed Yes | 77c | 139.36$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec1…2778backed No | 23c | 139.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfd…946bbacked Yes | 18c | 139$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 78c | 136.24$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c6…1f12backed Yes | 67c | 136.1$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9f…16b6backed Yes | 77c | 134.24$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb60…92e4backed No | 23c | 134.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…43f7backed Yes | 78c | 133.8$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fd…bc7ebacked No | 22c | 133.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b0…c637backed No | 24c | 132.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31f…8115backed Yes | 76c | 132.82$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 17c | 130.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.52 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0d…1683backed Yes | 20c | 128$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +154.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 24c | 125.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.3 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed Yes | 18c | 124.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe335…cd12backed Yes | 18c | 124$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 21c | 122.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.43 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…23bcbacked Yes | 16c | 121.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +509.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed No | 78c | 117$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed No | 78c | 115$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Yes | 19c | 106.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.13 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae6…7485backed No | 77c | 102.46$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.69 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will there be seven or eight announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?this page
- Will there be eleven or more announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?No won
- Will there be five or six announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?No won
- Will there be nine or ten announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?No won
- Will there be one or two announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?No won
- Will there be three or four announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?No won
- Will there be zero announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.