La Liga · resolved market
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-01-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4f112632a82e4b6adbeef7a76d2611298f00e291dea729c6b3f6b2b69972787
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 31c | 11,146$3,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,690.65 | 125 | 53.6%67 W · 58 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 55c | 3,418$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.26 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 58c | 2,320$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.27 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +12.8wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 39c | 2,235$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.39 | 196 | 62.8%123 W · 73 L | +20.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fa…ff6bbacked Yes | 19c | 2,096$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 50c | 1,734$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.4 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 1,041$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.76 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…5bc2backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 52c | 995.86$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.44 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 12c | 951.75$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.77 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked No | 33c | 905.94$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.98 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed No | 22c | 685.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.15 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 43c | 670$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.9 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed No | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 72c | 553.35$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 46c | 508.99$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.73 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 19c | 460.76$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.45 | 216 | 26.9%58 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 62c | 383.44$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.07 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…1e4bbacked Yes | 44c | 353.49$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.35 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 56c | 283.56$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.45 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked No | 79c | 265$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 28c | 218.1$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.95 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 64c | 200$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.64 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 13c | 200$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked No | 74c | 199.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed No | 30c | 199.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.96 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed No | 33c | 176.09$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.98 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 31c | 174.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.14 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 38c | 168.8$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 14c | 160$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.65 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc999…2958backed No | 30c | 158.87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed No | 26c | 156.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.93 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 127 | 22.8%29 W · 98 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e63…2d79backed No | 31c | 113.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c46…6a2abacked No | 14c | 112.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +396%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 64c | 96.91$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 61c | 81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e5…2244backed Yes | 66c | 71.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b48…0415backed Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbc…3b01backed Yes | 41c | 59.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bb…6069backed Yes | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Yes | 45c | 57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed No | 34c | 50.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e2…2cc3backed Yes | 72c | 49.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 37c | 46.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…64eebacked Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 36c | 42.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Yes | 34c | 33.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed No | 79c | 29.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…ac2fbacked Yes | 70c | 28.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d6…ce0ebacked Yes | 80c | 25.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…584dbacked Yes | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 64c | 20.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Yes | 69c | 14.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-01-13?this page
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.