La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34778e3d5e71fc5621ebbf93d73168db9ad9a92b378e735893e4b9254ae291dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 12c | 34,120$4,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,025.61 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 31c | 1,588$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.93 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 1,492$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.39 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 26c | 1,197$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.1 | 196 | 62.8%123 W · 73 L | +20.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 65c | 1,157$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.48 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 855.35$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.97 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 13c | 610.2$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.2 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 26c | 421.41$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.84 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 74c | 336.86$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.28 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 36c | 309.54$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.76 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 27c | 296.3$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.3 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 73c | 295.7$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.86 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 19c | 230.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.38 | 143 | 33.6%48 W · 95 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 27c | 227.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.75 | 216 | 26.9%58 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 12c | 200$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 18c | 189.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.63 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed No | 73c | 185$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.05 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 22c | 182.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.49 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 22c | 166.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.75 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 21c | 156.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.6 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…6715backed Yes | 60c | 145.65$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Yes | 19c | 131.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.09 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 130.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.77 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…1e4bbacked No | 76c | 122.23$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.21 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e91…3e2abacked No | 79c | 120.23$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…84efbacked No | 9c | 110$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 191 | 30.4%58 W · 133 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Yes | 19c | 83.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb063…c9d1backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Yes | 22c | 77.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 74c | 67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 40c | 64.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63a5…eff8backed Yes | 28c | 53.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 73c | 49.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Yes | 27c | 49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 26c | 46.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 74c | 45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 145 | 74.5%108 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed No | 73c | 39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Yes | 27c | 39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked No | 74c | 37.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 28.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-01-13?No won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.