La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c015295533662d84313e70e6ed8fff0aa0cacc72a338d0d101b5b3d55fef82c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 0c | 101,120$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 9,806$5,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,635.16 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 54c | 7,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,779.98 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 46c | 4,519$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440.47 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0364…f19bbacked No | 43c | 4,114$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.84 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69fd…d3adbacked Yes | 18c | 2,030$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…b796backed Yes | 27c | 1,878$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.15 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes | 56c | 1,681$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 1,220$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.04 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,084$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 10c | 799.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.41 | 129 | 17.8%23 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 44c | 676.44$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.89 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed No | 45c | 674.98$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.24 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 600.69$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.91 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 46c | 586.96$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.96 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 53c | 569.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.33 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 46c | 567.95$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.9 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…34d2backed Yes | 57c | 564.41$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 46c | 543.31$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.67 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 65c | 534.4$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.16 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 46c | 508.77$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 57c | 506.02$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.43 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 55c | 502.35$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.3 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 10c | 500$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 54c | 442.5$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.95 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 66c | 420.55$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.31 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9475…a29ebacked Yes | 56c | 359.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…d438backed Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 17c | 335.62$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Yes | 12c | 318.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 18c | 305$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed No | 46c | 276.29$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.81 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 59c | 256$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.35 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…3b59backed Yes | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 55c | 223$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.05 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 38c | 200$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.76 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…e46cbacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…7f8cbacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 45c | 190.91$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7b…20bbbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…5072backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…45e7backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 44c | 159.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.79 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 39c | 152.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 44c | 148.1$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.67 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Yes | 55c | 146$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 46c | 137.4$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.56 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Yes | 54c | 137$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.98 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 14c | 128.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes | 55c | 119$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 54c | 110$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 46c | 108.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 68c | 103.66$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 56c | 100.17$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…c3a6backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…c8c2backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b8…3539backed No | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked No | 49c | 98.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Yes | 54c | 92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a1…4799backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 55c | 87.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Yes | 55c | 85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc420…2badbacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Yes | 55c | 77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd94…c56cbacked Yes | 14c | 74.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…1e4bbacked No | 66c | 74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92a5…eb80backed Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Yes | 55c | 69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Yes | 54c | 68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Yes | 33c | 65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Yes | 54c | 63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Yes | 55c | 63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2f18backed Yes | 48c | 62.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…54e6backed Yes | 36c | 60.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…3647backed Yes | 58c | 59.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +139.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed No | 46c | 50.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed No | 52c | 50.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a34…959bbacked Yes | 55c | 49.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked No | 46c | 48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 43c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed No | 46c | 46.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed No | 41c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed No | 44c | 40.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-13?this page
- Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-01-13?No won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.