Olympics · resolved market
Men's Group B - Finland vs. Sweden
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf53748a41a9910994ed4e90eb16c25aa2ceb4b98c571c1181caf8d82312eca20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Finlandof Finland, Sweden
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $480,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $497,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $480,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 438 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Finland | 37c | 132,870$49,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,100.34 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Sweden | 62c | 61,607$38,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,172.38 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Finland | 37c | 42,500$15,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,599.91 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Sweden | 62c | 32,160$19,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,941.78 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73f7…b2e9backed Sweden | 64c | 28,902$18,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,589.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sweden | 64c | 27,228$17,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,322.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Finland | 35c | 20,116$7,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,075.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Finland | 75c | 20,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Sweden | 66c | 18,217$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Sweden | 13c | 17,360$2,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305.37 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Finland | 38c | 17,000$6,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,539.98 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Finland | 36c | 14,949$5,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,567.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Sweden | 62c | 12,766$7,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,915.12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…181cbacked Finland | 77c | 9,463$7,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Finland | 59c | 9,086$5,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,738.06 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Finland | 37c | 8,789$3,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,537.24 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Finland | 38c | 8,000$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,989.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…d373backed Finland | 38c | 7,600$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,712 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938f…f13fbacked Sweden | 62c | 7,555$4,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,684.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Finland | 74c | 6,770$5,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Sweden | 13c | 6,646$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Finland | 35c | 6,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.94 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Sweden | 61c | 5,858$3,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,575.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x467c…8c89backed Finland | 75c | 5,609$4,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Sweden | 62c | 5,559$3,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,446.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Sweden | 62c | 5,278$3,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,272.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Sweden | 62c | 5,205$3,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,227.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Sweden | 64c | 5,204$3,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,307.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Sweden | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Sweden | 63c | 4,859$3,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,038.05 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Finland | 39c | 4,500$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,764.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sweden | 14c | 4,329$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.37 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sweden | 39c | 4,206$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.81 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Sweden | 62c | 3,635$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.04 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Sweden | 62c | 3,378$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094.64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Sweden | 63c | 3,175$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…f674backed Sweden | 62c | 3,003$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Sweden | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Finland | 38c | 3,000$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3279…3ce9backed Sweden | 63c | 2,996$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Finland | 66c | 2,966$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.52 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d5…d528backed Sweden | 62c | 2,880$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd766…10e8backed Finland | 38c | 2,785$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Sweden | 63c | 2,781$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.95 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…b77abacked Finland | 38c | 2,596$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…7a08backed Finland | 38c | 2,570$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Sweden | 61c | 2,559$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Finland | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd2…f20abacked Finland | 38c | 2,258$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Sweden | 63c | 2,226$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Sweden | 49c | 2,223$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.54 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Finland | 54c | 2,200$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x322d…37febacked Sweden | 63c | 2,169$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce2…34bdbacked Sweden | 62c | 2,164$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f85…bd8cbacked Sweden | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc829…cad3backed Sweden | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Finland | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3383…c5c0backed Finland | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Finland | 74c | 1,950$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x221d…e800backed Finland | 77c | 1,923$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Finland | 35c | 1,882$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.3 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d4…ffb3backed Sweden | 65c | 1,631$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…5b3cbacked Finland | 37c | 1,622$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.62 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Sweden | 31c | 1,618$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Finland | 49c | 1,609$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.79 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Sweden | 61c | 1,502$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…273ebacked Finland | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Finland | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Sweden | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Sweden | 63c | 1,451$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Sweden | 60c | 1,395$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.99 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sweden | 21c | 1,254$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.71 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Finland | 61c | 1,073$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.74 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed Sweden | 61c | 1,031$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.11 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Sweden | 62c | 1,030$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.84 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Finland | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…1440backed Finland | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Finland | 45c | 981.06$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 34cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Finland | 39c | 960$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04e…376abacked Sweden | 61c | 951.57$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Sweden | 61c | 800$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Finland | 50c | 795.75$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03a0…ff20backed Finland | 74c | 785$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…bf76backed Sweden | 65c | 768.82$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…2394backed Sweden | 26c | 760.37$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e4…22cbbacked Finland | 37c | 757.11$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x726b…c72bbacked Finland | 37c | 751.9$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.7 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5d…d1b3backed Sweden | 24c | 673.4$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Sweden | 62c | 660$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Sweden | 62c | 615$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1d…95debacked Sweden | 65c | 607.69$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Sweden | 64c | 600$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Finland | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 36cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe81c…a724backed Sweden | 50c | 579.81$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Sweden | 62c | 520$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.4 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…240bbacked Finland | 40c | 505.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Sweden | 62c | 500.9$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Sweden | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2b…3a3bbacked Finland | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Sweden | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.