Olympics · resolved market
Women's Group A - Canada vs. USA
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e884e3ab7b4b5584225fd1a8e3174f944a5da46bde7a9a5c71dcdc719334142
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- USAof Canada, USA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked USA | 70c | 20,495$14,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,170.97 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Canada | 32c | 16,074$5,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,108.55 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed USA | 68c | 7,500$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Canada | 32c | 6,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Canada | 34c | 3,981$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed USA | 63c | 3,353$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.53 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Canada | 34c | 3,179$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.14 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked USA | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Canada | 5c | 2,529$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.56 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed USA | 58c | 2,509$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed USA | 67c | 2,500$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Canada | 24c | 2,450$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.68 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed USA | 66c | 2,303$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canada | 20c | 2,287$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.05 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Canada | 41c | 2,223$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.79 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Canada | 33c | 2,056$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed USA | 68c | 1,718$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.62 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed USA | 68c | 1,700$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Canada | 32c | 1,523$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Canada | 38c | 1,417$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.13 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Canada | 31c | 1,399$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.23 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked USA | 65c | 1,374$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.28 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Canada | 35c | 1,300$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Canada | 19c | 1,214$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.61 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Canada | 7c | 1,113$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Canada | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Canada | 38c | 999.96$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked USA | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b61…599cbacked USA | 63c | 791.02$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked Canada | 43c | 773.39$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Canada | 2c | 746.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…9569backed USA | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Canada | 21c | 698.3$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Canada | 32c | 696.43$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…58c7backed Canada | 32c | 593.58$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…55a0backed Canada | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed USA | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1c…fb66backed Canada | 42c | 426.19$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…7511backed Canada | 25c | 403.81$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Canada | 31c | 402.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.93 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…39c7backed Canada | 18c | 400.95$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Canada | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Canada | 40c | 399.98$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Canada | 39c | 399.98$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.49 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca3…2d23backed Canada | 33c | 377.75$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked USA | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed USA | 69c | 333.62$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe1…6c98backed Canada | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x877a…7de2backed Canada | 9c | 328.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed USA | 67c | 324.49$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…5c34backed USA | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…0272backed Canada | 17c | 299.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Canada | 37c | 299.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e73…b728backed USA | 68c | 294.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.56 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Canada | 34c | 288$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e5…e660backed Canada | 18c | 284.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Canada | 43c | 280$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Canada | 33c | 259.27$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed USA | 59c | 256$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.98 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Canada | 32c | 255$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Canada | 41c | 247.84$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Canada | 43c | 243.63$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.11 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed USA | 64c | 236.17$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.17 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Canada | 21c | 233.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…d47bbacked USA | 68c | 230$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed USA | 66c | 220.29$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb0…4cd4backed Canada | 32c | 212$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Canada | 24c | 206.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed USA | 58c | 201.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.13 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd068…c3bfbacked Canada | 34c | 201.15$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.39 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Canada | 32c | 189.85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed USA | 59c | 180$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Canada | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Canada | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d1…ba29backed Canada | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bff…5e35backed USA | 69c | 141.2$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…1fd5backed Canada | 42c | 140.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed Canada | 19c | 132$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…b870backed Canada | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ac…094abacked Canada | 28c | 105.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe08…10ebbacked Canada | 32c | 100.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…8149backed Canada | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Canada | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed USA | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…e4b8backed Canada | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked USA | 71c | 93.88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed USA | 78c | 88.85$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Canada | 39c | 85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed USA | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Canada | 30c | 82.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked USA | 63c | 79.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed Canada | 39c | 75.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…bbd7backed USA | 59c | 71.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9146…293abacked USA | 58c | 68.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Canada | 33c | 60.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Canada | 25c | 60.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed USA | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed Canada | 35c | 57.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…0b6ebacked Canada | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7325…0574backed Canada | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.