Token Launches · resolved market
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb677cba53e044c82022f945a719713f639a664cae21f48d28f61ab9a8df835b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $627,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $647,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $627,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 401 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x351d…baedbacked Yes | 1c | 44,540$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ce…e13ebacked Yes | 48c | 30,050$14,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,337.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044a…f35ebacked No | 78c | 22,500$17,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,858.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…c691backed No | 55c | 20,052$10,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,080.78 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…16debacked No | 60c | 18,746$11,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,476.02 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7818…d185backed No | 77c | 18,156$13,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,215.76 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1b…efb5backed No | 66c | 16,623$10,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,698.35 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +11.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed No | 64c | 15,412$9,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,479.96 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…d91ebacked Yes | 42c | 13,837$5,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,790.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +191.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed No | 46c | 12,266$5,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,574.58 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf952…456abacked Yes | 68c | 11,001$7,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,443.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7217…fdbdbacked Yes | 30c | 10,060$3,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,021.66 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6789…cf8cbacked No | 80c | 9,117$7,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 51c | 8,781$4,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320.84 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 31c | 8,632$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690.46 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3a…44eebacked Yes | 19c | 8,525$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd81…3770backed No | 70c | 8,093$5,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe002…0202backed No | 79c | 7,715$6,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f5…82bdbacked Yes | 24c | 7,150$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2993…24d6backed Yes | 40c | 7,036$2,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,785.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…cccbbacked Yes | 32c | 6,792$2,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.92 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1b…6bc3backed Yes | 24c | 6,717$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed No | 78c | 6,699$5,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.35 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…7b2fbacked Yes | 30c | 6,548$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.93 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…ca60backed No | 75c | 6,301$4,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d63…ba27backed No | 79c | 6,200$4,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…b175backed No | 58c | 6,099$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,559.5 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked No | 38c | 6,037$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,717.13 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…0b65backed Yes | 31c | 5,665$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd305…4e8bbacked No | 72c | 5,576$4,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.33 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…fdd4backed No | 79c | 5,477$4,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x925e…95d0backed Yes | 3c | 5,424$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x932f…3d67backed Yes | 37c | 5,401$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed No | 72c | 5,005$3,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.52 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 31c | 4,667$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.59 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c5…352bbacked Yes | 47c | 4,264$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4c…a5f0backed Yes | 30c | 4,219$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.72 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa77f…e578backed No | 52c | 3,794$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.3 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 34c | 3,644$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.7 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…b6c6backed Yes | 29c | 3,365$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.54 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…44a2backed Yes | 31c | 3,191$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…be6cbacked Yes | 42c | 3,106$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.77 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…b608backed Yes | 31c | 3,057$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.15 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +340.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8134…3a6fbacked Yes | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4f…a442backed No | 69c | 2,675$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.37 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…5b62backed No | 62c | 2,646$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…2528backed No | 59c | 2,633$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.42 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +13.8wins | +0.42per pick | 31cpaid | +257.2%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0xf74b…95cbbacked No | 40c | 2,533$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.31 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb009…72f0backed Yes | 37c | 2,490$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…904cbacked Yes | 28c | 2,434$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.35 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed Yes | 37c | 2,370$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +12.0wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 34c | 2,303$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.95 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde54…beacbacked Yes | 45c | 2,227$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95c2…5a17backed No | 23c | 2,189$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.54 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa173…3315backed No | 48c | 2,189$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.67 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4930…82abbacked Yes | 18c | 2,029$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.96 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…e62abacked Yes | 67c | 2,000$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.47 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc00…9bd0backed Yes | 36c | 2,000$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.37 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c4…1f17backed Yes | 30c | 2,000$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e76…ef4ebacked No | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1084…d520backed Yes | 25c | 1,980$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked No | 64c | 1,969$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.53 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7b52…0db3backed Yes | 22c | 1,877$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.84 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf90d…db1fbacked Yes | 53c | 1,866$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde90…76b1backed No | 55c | 1,863$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 56c | 1,849$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.63 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…c2acbacked No | 54c | 1,812$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.27 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…9018backed Yes | 28c | 1,790$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a33…88a1backed Yes | 59c | 1,757$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe402…4243backed No | 59c | 1,717$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.82 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba21…881cbacked Yes | 39c | 1,700$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 6c | 1,700$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d2…6594backed Yes | 34c | 1,696$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1549…46f6backed No | 47c | 1,678$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.26 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12d5…c8d6backed No | 30c | 1,668$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99dc…3303backed Yes | 27c | 1,639$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd006…df2ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,591$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…20a3backed Yes | 15c | 1,525$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.43 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b4…ba8fbacked No | 28c | 1,500$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.67 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes | 31c | 1,500$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.88 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6f…25f8backed Yes | 6c | 1,495$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.98 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbee3…ac5bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,494$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44c…7739backed Yes | 33c | 1,477$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe853…f99cbacked Yes | 43c | 1,436$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5167…ccefbacked Yes | 30c | 1,400$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…03c5backed Yes | 26c | 1,394$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.23 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Yes | 39c | 1,368$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…fa90backed Yes | 2c | 1,362$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2c…5341backed Yes | 20c | 1,344$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.81 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2471…f653backed Yes | 32c | 1,334$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb741…a996backed No | 59c | 1,295$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.39 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +7.9wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +119%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3057…7a96backed Yes | 69c | 1,216$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.13 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10cb…5f05backed No | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf561…ba3bbacked Yes | 29c | 1,194$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.51 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,193$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.46 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ab…db8abacked Yes | 44c | 1,189$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.86 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1d…4773backed Yes | 1c | 1,156$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c9…1917backed No | 40c | 1,150$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.74 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…9db8backed Yes | 53c | 1,098$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?this page
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?Yes won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.04?Yes won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.06?No won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.07?No won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.08?No won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.09?No won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.10?No won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.12?No won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.14?No won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.