Token Launches · resolved market
Zama auction clearing price above $0.04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x266584f20d5610ece33a1e3ce3875fdcf51dd4bbb8f61cffb3ec66cc13bcbf15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $471,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $389,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $471,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63a4…2528backed No | 3c | 41,801$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.74 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +13.8wins | +0.42per pick | 31cpaid | +257.2%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0xf74b…95cbbacked No | 7c | 32,529$2,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415.81 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1b…efb5backed No | 19c | 23,448$4,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,518.06 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +11.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 6c | 19,123$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.19 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9262…bcb8backed No | 7c | 13,681$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.06 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +142%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2229…6bf8backed No | 12c | 13,110$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.07 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +10.5wins | +0.28per pick | 35cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…c691backed No | 24c | 12,103$2,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888.35 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 2c | 11,771$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.88 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6c…70a8backed No | 0c | 11,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…ca60backed No | 4c | 10,609$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…cccbbacked Yes | 75c | 10,422$7,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.55 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cb…5f05backed No | 1c | 10,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed No | 16c | 10,000$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.18 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23e5…25cbbacked No | 4c | 8,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 6,697$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.14 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…c7a0backed No | 3c | 6,544$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed No | 4c | 5,118$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…e9d0backed No | 0c | 4,840$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked No | 10c | 4,663$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.52 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd06…5ed9backed No | 4c | 4,209$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6789…cf8cbacked No | 24c | 4,057$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa77f…e578backed No | 14c | 4,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Yes | 75c | 3,935$2,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.99 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…7b2fbacked Yes | 73c | 3,882$2,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.52 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba5…c7b1backed No | 19c | 3,841$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…b175backed No | 26c | 3,652$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb741…a996backed No | 28c | 3,544$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +7.9wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +119%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…3881backed No | 23c | 3,482$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.49 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 10c | 3,409$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.29 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf952…456abacked No | 22c | 3,350$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…16debacked No | 23c | 3,290$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c4…1f17backed No | 6c | 3,052$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c1…e577backed No | 2c | 2,800$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 2c | 2,705$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 233 | 3.4%8 W · 225 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c52…2c09backed No | 3c | 2,503$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…41d5backed Yes | 69c | 1,816$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.14 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11e9…4136backed No | 22c | 1,785$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.2 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d19…479ebacked No | 2c | 1,765$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa173…3315backed Yes | 71c | 1,651$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.03 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4df…3b5abacked No | 1c | 1,636$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…51d3backed Yes | 76c | 1,590$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde90…76b1backed No | 22c | 1,583$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 3c | 1,556$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes | 72c | 1,553$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.93 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4c…a5f0backed Yes | 74c | 1,508$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.06 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…c006backed No | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…ed01backed Yes | 70c | 1,499$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5d…10cebacked No | 3c | 1,486$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed No | 4c | 1,450$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 123 | 4.1%5 W · 118 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd94f…eff7backed Yes | 73c | 1,388$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0e…9b77backed No | 4c | 1,365$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2c…5341backed Yes | 75c | 1,301$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…03c5backed No | 15c | 1,300$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.88 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 2c | 1,267$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729e…e23ebacked Yes | 75c | 1,220$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.78 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed Yes | 75c | 1,200$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked No | 2c | 1,176$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 124 | 3.2%4 W · 120 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes | 78c | 1,164$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.15 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked No | 2c | 1,103$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 2c | 1,093$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 209 | 4.3%9 W · 200 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…6ba9backed Yes | 78c | 1,050$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.5 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0f…3bfabacked No | 15c | 1,037$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 78c | 1,016$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed No | 18c | 1,000$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc00…9bd0backed No | 2c | 1,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…9db8backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…0009backed No | 3c | 1,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc05…f600backed No | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0a…a693backed No | 29c | 977.18$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22be…64e3backed No | 3c | 965.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd4…60acbacked No | 1c | 905$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 2c | 900$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 75 | 4%3 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 7c | 884.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…4df5backed No | 3c | 878.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 2c | 835$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…f56ebacked No | 5c | 816.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…ba2abacked Yes | 69c | 800$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x327e…9587backed No | 6c | 784.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6029…e3b3backed No | 2c | 769.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…c007backed Yes | 80c | 750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x932f…3d67backed Yes | 73c | 738$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa64…969dbacked No | 27c | 733.19$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.96 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8f…29e1backed No | 6c | 727$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…94c0backed No | 2c | 700$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 78c | 699.99$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +11.3wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa920…be41backed No | 6c | 609.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa08b…9d78backed No | 5c | 563.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Yes | 78c | 563.56$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.62 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…9775backed Yes | 79c | 541.25$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.2 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58c7…2c2bbacked No | 8c | 525.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6431…9056backed No | 19c | 524.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 26c | 500$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +22.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…256abacked No | 22c | 500$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.85 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2170…dc18backed No | 13c | 496.67$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.67 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -73%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6810…2ac9backed No | 23c | 434.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b9…57bebacked Yes | 74c | 413.51$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ee…5cf0backed Yes | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x151d…4497backed Yes | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 20c | 374.76$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.31 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.04?this page
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?Yes won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?No won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.06?No won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.07?No won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.08?No won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.09?No won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.10?No won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.12?No won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.14?No won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.