TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Token Launches · resolved market

Zama auction clearing price above $0.06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$261,806
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$210,142

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $261,806 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa1ce…e13ebacked Yes7c30,568$2,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,104.540%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x351d…baedbacked Yes0c12,400$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b6c…70a8backed Yes0c12,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25238.7%2 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-69.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes5c10,909$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.9660%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c4c…a5f0backed Yes11c10,580$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.489142.9%39 W · 52 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x932f…3d67backed Yes15c10,397$1,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,572.29757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4ba…7b2fbacked Yes7c9,920$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.66922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-61.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes5c5,741$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.512377.2%17 W · 220 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-38.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed Yes8c4,009$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3276350.8%32 W · 31 L+12.0wins+0.19per pick32cpaid+108.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x10fb…4651backed Yes9c3,747$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.331127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick22cpaid-39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3baa…5688backed Yes4c3,707$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.41825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ce…03c5backed No69c2,998$2,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.847657.9%44 W · 32 L+8.9wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe016…1d15backed Yes9c2,832$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.160%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2229…6bf8backed Yes33c2,768$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.823863.2%24 W · 14 L+10.5wins+0.28per pick35cpaid+90.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x2b1c…288cbacked Yes25c2,570$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.6220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e37…cccbbacked Yes2c2,500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510143.6%44 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9db…179bbacked Yes4c2,265$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9830%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes8c2,221$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.83120%0 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1084…d520backed Yes7c2,192$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.075538.2%21 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4930…82abbacked Yes9c2,149$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.093828.9%11 W · 27 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ad4…3d8cbacked Yes4c2,138$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0614732%47 W · 100 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+44%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2aa1…c691backed No77c2,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4604050%20 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+37.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ef2…7f72backed Yes4c2,000$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8580%0 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7217…fdbdbacked Yes12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24060%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc903…b175backed No69c2,000$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.453857.9%22 W · 16 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+46.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b1b…6bc3backed Yes9c2,000$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes7c1,977$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.857663.3%25 W · 741 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-75.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63a4…2528backed Yes2c1,921$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.343372.7%24 W · 9 L+13.8wins+0.42per pick31cpaid+257.2%equal weight76+0.24 edge/pick
0xc15d…6a7cbacked Yes8c1,789$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.361225%3 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6413…64adbacked Yes6c1,714$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10080%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes5c1,600$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.12541.6%4 W · 250 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-71.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ffd…74bfbacked Yes4c1,394$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.18166.3%1 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick21cpaid-86.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa77f…e578backed No61c1,336$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.773129%9 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29d4…41fbbacked Yes7c1,313$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.182360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes2c1,305$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.022333.4%8 W · 225 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-64.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5081…a309backed Yes6c1,300$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731234.1%5 W · 118 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d5f…b380backed Yes2c1,213$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.88127.2%22 W · 59 L-0.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a76…fe0cbacked Yes16c1,177$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.15425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-67.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes6c1,145$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.881243.2%4 W · 120 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbffe…0d18backed Yes2c1,136$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick13cpaid-81.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes4c1,117$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.672094.3%9 W · 200 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-73.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes4c1,105$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.56754%3 W · 72 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-52.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes3c1,101$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0919336.3%70 W · 123 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes5c1,100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.22442%5 W · 239 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-56.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x387f…a146backed Yes11c1,100$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d47…1908backed Yes12c1,083$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick30cpaid+24.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes5c1,051$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.341343.7%5 W · 129 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d2…6594backed Yes5c1,012$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb401…df2abacked Yes8c1,009$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.231330.8%4 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick15cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c5b…0584backed Yes7c1,000$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6940%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc00…9bd0backed Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-43.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc05…f600backed Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208421.4%18 W · 66 L+0.3wins0.00per pick21cpaid+37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x729e…e23ebacked Yes11c946.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-40.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20cd…5634backed No77c919.04$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.041546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9a4…996dbacked Yes2c904.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.061428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cd2…772dbacked Yes3c901.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.211233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c99…8627backed Yes24c842.67$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.22321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-62.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x04c3…8041backed Yes5c819.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80ee…5cf0backed Yes31c807$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.012045%9 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7a8…db62backed Yes7c795$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.631450%7 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7361…7be5backed Yes25c779.99$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.832416.7%4 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes13c750$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8810045%45 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf629…bda0backed No66c700$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2369442.6%40 W · 54 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd771…b902backed Yes3c684.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8030…7b74backed Yes2c611.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152441.7%10 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick26cpaid+32.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes15c601.02$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4835712.9%46 W · 311 L-29.9wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-55.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf1dc…5460backed Yes17c599.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.78338.6%32 W · 51 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cd5…8347backed Yes8c592.65$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa47b…aa32backed Yes17c586.94$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8451…1ad0backed Yes4c580.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0893…42e2backed Yes36c573.32$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.36933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fcc…c736backed Yes9c548.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501625%4 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-55.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb006…bddcbacked Yes4c539.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes7c506.38$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.559914.1%14 W · 85 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-60.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8cc7…8a66backed Yes18c500$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.481717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-53%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed No76c499.99$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12115362.7%96 W · 57 L+22.4wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7d12…9d95backed No80c458$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd297…2919backed No79c428.27$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.029550.5%48 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba21…881cbacked Yes6c400$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-39.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9e1…c5debacked Yes21c399.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-55.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22c3…0472backed Yes10c350.78$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.331030%3 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick20cpaid-19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Yes4c314.75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.392725.9%7 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-35.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59d2…9e1ebacked Yes5c314$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes14c312.88$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.253495.7%20 W · 329 L-25.3wins-0.07per pick13cpaid-66.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb357…ff05backed No76c311.62$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.92152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed No71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.77255.6%40 W · 32 L+11.3wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+42.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xcc4c…8a45backed No80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.45per pick62cpaid-79.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x73a5…f00abacked Yes10c291$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.46714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick38cpaid-75.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0a9…a428backed Yes4c281.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes8c266.49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8225422%56 W · 198 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4575…9628backed Yes14c231.87$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.366911.6%8 W · 61 L-8.4wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-61.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa095…66bcbacked Yes7c228.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.81040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+158.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6658…654cbacked Yes15c226.91$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.031450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd73c…589bbacked Yes10c210.36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2b3…5bebbacked Yes6c209.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12e6…ea33backed Yes7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa83…537bbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203060%18 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f93…ea49backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…77d6backed Yes39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes18c199.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1146320.5%95 W · 368 L-68.1wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-59.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.