Token Launches · resolved market
Zama auction clearing price above $0.06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f24ecd32e9cc7bc4a06784bfcc03440bea59a981816e54a843fd10e4a0c902e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $261,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $210,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $261,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1ce…e13ebacked Yes | 7c | 30,568$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351d…baedbacked Yes | 0c | 12,400$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6c…70a8backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 5c | 10,909$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.96 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4c…a5f0backed Yes | 11c | 10,580$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.48 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x932f…3d67backed Yes | 15c | 10,397$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…7b2fbacked Yes | 7c | 9,920$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.66 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 5c | 5,741$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.51 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed Yes | 8c | 4,009$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +12.0wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…4651backed Yes | 9c | 3,747$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.33 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…5688backed Yes | 4c | 3,707$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.41 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…03c5backed No | 69c | 2,998$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.84 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…1d15backed Yes | 9c | 2,832$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.1 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2229…6bf8backed Yes | 33c | 2,768$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.82 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +10.5wins | +0.28per pick | 35cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1c…288cbacked Yes | 25c | 2,570$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…cccbbacked Yes | 2c | 2,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9db…179bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,265$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 8c | 2,221$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.83 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1084…d520backed Yes | 7c | 2,192$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.07 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4930…82abbacked Yes | 9c | 2,149$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.09 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad4…3d8cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,138$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.06 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…c691backed No | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…7f72backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7217…fdbdbacked Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…b175backed No | 69c | 2,000$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.45 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1b…6bc3backed Yes | 9c | 2,000$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 1,977$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.85 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…2528backed Yes | 2c | 1,921$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +13.8wins | +0.42per pick | 31cpaid | +257.2%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0xc15d…6a7cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,789$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.36 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6413…64adbacked Yes | 6c | 1,714$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 1,600$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffd…74bfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,394$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 21cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa77f…e578backed No | 61c | 1,336$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.77 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…41fbbacked Yes | 7c | 1,313$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 2c | 1,305$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 233 | 3.4%8 W · 225 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 6c | 1,300$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 123 | 4.1%5 W · 118 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 2c | 1,213$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a76…fe0cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,177$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,145$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.88 | 124 | 3.2%4 W · 120 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…0d18backed Yes | 2c | 1,136$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,117$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 209 | 4.3%9 W · 200 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,105$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 75 | 4%3 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 3c | 1,101$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 5c | 1,100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…a146backed Yes | 11c | 1,100$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d47…1908backed Yes | 12c | 1,083$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 5c | 1,051$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d2…6594backed Yes | 5c | 1,012$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb401…df2abacked Yes | 8c | 1,009$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.23 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 15cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc00…9bd0backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc05…f600backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x729e…e23ebacked Yes | 11c | 946.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20cd…5634backed No | 77c | 919.04$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.04 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a4…996dbacked Yes | 2c | 904.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…772dbacked Yes | 3c | 901.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c99…8627backed Yes | 24c | 842.67$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.2 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04c3…8041backed Yes | 5c | 819.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ee…5cf0backed Yes | 31c | 807$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.01 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…db62backed Yes | 7c | 795$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7361…7be5backed Yes | 25c | 779.99$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.83 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes | 13c | 750$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.88 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed No | 66c | 700$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd771…b902backed Yes | 3c | 684.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 2c | 611.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 601.02$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.48 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…5460backed Yes | 17c | 599.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd5…8347backed Yes | 8c | 592.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa47b…aa32backed Yes | 17c | 586.94$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8451…1ad0backed Yes | 4c | 580.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0893…42e2backed Yes | 36c | 573.32$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…c736backed Yes | 9c | 548.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…bddcbacked Yes | 4c | 539.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 7c | 506.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 99 | 14.1%14 W · 85 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…8a66backed Yes | 18c | 500$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.48 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 76c | 499.99$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +22.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…9d95backed No | 80c | 458$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd297…2919backed No | 79c | 428.27$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba21…881cbacked Yes | 6c | 400$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e1…c5debacked Yes | 21c | 399.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c3…0472backed Yes | 10c | 350.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 4c | 314.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d2…9e1ebacked Yes | 5c | 314$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 14c | 312.88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb357…ff05backed No | 76c | 311.62$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.9 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +11.3wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4c…8a45backed No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 62cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73a5…f00abacked Yes | 10c | 291$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…a428backed Yes | 4c | 281.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 8c | 266.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed Yes | 14c | 231.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 69 | 11.6%8 W · 61 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa095…66bcbacked Yes | 7c | 228.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +158.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6658…654cbacked Yes | 15c | 226.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73c…589bbacked Yes | 10c | 210.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b3…5bebbacked Yes | 6c | 209.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e6…ea33backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f93…ea49backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…77d6backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 18c | 199.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 463 | 20.5%95 W · 368 L | -68.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.06?this page
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?Yes won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.04?Yes won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?No won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.07?No won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.08?No won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.09?No won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.10?No won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.12?No won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.14?No won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.