TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf7a8…db62

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Cricket, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 59 out of 100; worst IPO at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT2951.7%15 W · 14 L+4.6wins+0.16per pick36cpaid+39.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
Cricket — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$28.78
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.42
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.09
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.74
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$74
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.8
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$30.15
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$62
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+213.7%+$109
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.29
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$92.8
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+55%+$42.6
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+256.7%+$181.84
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$29.08
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.8
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+219.1%+$51.49
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+245.1%+$126.82
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$42.09
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.21
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.5
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$75.83
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.75
Zama auction clearing price above $0.10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Zama auction clearing price above $0.09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13.12
Zama auction clearing price above $0.06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$52.63
Zama auction clearing price above $0.08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
Zama auction clearing price above $0.04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+27.7%+$62.27
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$79.01
Elsa FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+222.6%+$69
Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+159.8%+$193.75
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+150%+$59.99
Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+57.3%+$43
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+58.8%+$117.53
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$70
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.98
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.8
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.37
Will Egypt go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.56
Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.17
Will Rafael Leão be in Portugal's Starting 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.4
Will Lautaro Martínez be in Argentina's Starting 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Julián Alvarez be in Argentina's Starting 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$31.5
Will Ecuador go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
All 9 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-67.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
IPO — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $900M and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Bending Spoons' market cap be between $16B and $19B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.57
Will ITG's market cap be between $2.1B and $2.7B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will Deep Fission's market cap be less than $1.25B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.62
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.68
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.75B and $2.0B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$21.4
Will Innio's market cap be between $20B and $23B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $22B and $25B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$17.8
Will Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.35
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-66.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA: SGA Award Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$120
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.