Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x338e7f098aaf5375059c90702ac1e1bc669a076048ac5b5790ef84c935ea7a7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcbbc…9044backed Yes | 22c | 1,484$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.31 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 20c | 1,347$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.44 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,294$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.96 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e22…3061backed Yes | 19c | 592.66$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.55 | 385 | 15.6%60 W · 325 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 7c | 574.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 25c | 549.74$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.47 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 72c | 501.39$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.17 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 14c | 474.69$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.66 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 16c | 441.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf57d…f322backed Yes | 21c | 407.89$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 255 | 19.2%49 W · 206 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 11c | 354.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 12c | 328.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 22c | 301.39$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.31 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 77c | 298.46$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed Yes | 12c | 287.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 542 | 34.9%189 W · 353 L | -30.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…fcb8backed Yes | 24c | 249.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 76c | 227.91$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea4c…9f3bbacked Yes | 27c | 221$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 77c | 203$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 79c | 201.04$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 74c | 190$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 22c | 185.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e80…1df6backed Yes | 29c | 183.66$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a81…6cf9backed Yes | 17c | 175.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 18.9%18 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 77c | 164$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 27c | 162$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 11c | 160.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 76c | 160$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 76c | 157.87$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 1,088 | 55.5%604 W · 484 L | -27.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e97…96cebacked Yes | 25c | 156.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf722…4e1ebacked No | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca06…b2c4backed No | 78c | 133.22$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3c65backed No | 80c | 126.64$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f9…9ab0backed Yes | 25c | 125.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 138 | 38.4%53 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 22c | 120.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0493…8d1cbacked Yes | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf695…0045backed Yes | 23c | 120$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 76c | 118.64$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 399 | 68.9%275 W · 124 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 116.48$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 79c | 107$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 21c | 105.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 19c | 105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 75c | 103.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…99eabacked Yes | 23c | 103.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 13c | 101$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…b458backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…e968backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…29ecbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 73c | 95.01$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…00b2backed Yes | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 145 | 24.1%35 W · 110 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 16c | 94.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 77c | 92.35$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 79c | 89.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 77c | 87.87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2e…f022backed Yes | 16c | 83.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 180 | 33.9%61 W · 119 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d8…03eabacked Yes | 24c | 82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 116 | 12.1%14 W · 102 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 78c | 81.6$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 16c | 77.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 18c | 72.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…e8cebacked Yes | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 74c | 64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…db62backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…fababacked Yes | 17c | 58.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 157 | 22.9%36 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 77c | 58.11$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 79c | 55.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 75c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 74c | 53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…9207backed Yes | 27c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 110 | 27.3%30 W · 80 L | -22.3wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xec21…c83fbacked No | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 78cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…517ebacked Yes | 21c | 49.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,643 | 27.8%456 W · 1,187 L | +117.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd39…5f76backed No | 78c | 49.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 95 | 69.5%66 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…9862backed Yes | 25c | 48.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 77c | 47.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 79c | 46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 73c | 41.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 76c | 40.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…86fdbacked No | 78c | 39.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 75c | 38.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed No | 78c | 36.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 257 | 66.1%170 W · 87 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 75c | 34.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 78c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e4…013dbacked No | 77c | 30.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…d69dbacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked No | 77c | 20.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b62…e627backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73d…79d7backed No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 67c | 18.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5e…c5edbacked No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4801…4a60backed No | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 20?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.