IPO · resolved market
Will Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ffe34cda8e1d304308652f8ab789cdf970a6e303c34f65f123f815e84f717b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- IPOevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in IPO is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in IPO | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b91…2709backed No | 55c | 4,250$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…deaabacked Yes | 34c | 3,376$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes | 37c | 3,376$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…220ebacked No | 65c | 1,513$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.68 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Yes | 44c | 1,300$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2362…6fd5backed Yes | 39c | 807.25$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 42c | 758.18$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.12 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed Yes | 35c | 751.98$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.82 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…b734backed No | 65c | 651.33$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…308fbacked Yes | 45c | 550$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c30…7673backed Yes | 36c | 502.32$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7650…fac1backed Yes | 36c | 488.25$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fa…4a62backed No | 71c | 483.21$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 7c | 410$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked No | 67c | 368.15$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.01 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc205…5286backed Yes | 42c | 338.02$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…3365backed Yes | 42c | 320$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce60…6705backed No | 59c | 304.75$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.86 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb38…ae5fbacked Yes | 34c | 299.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…4ac3backed Yes | 37c | 280$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 39c | 269.2$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.02 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…ff71backed No | 79c | 255.71$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3472…f828backed Yes | 28c | 243.57$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed No | 65c | 241.76$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 11c | 241.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58c…0a81backed No | 63c | 240$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0762…925ebacked Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 36c | 199.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e03…beaabacked Yes | 40c | 170.01$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 63c | 152$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.87 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x557d…c29dbacked No | 65c | 116.54$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…db62backed Yes | 39c | 113.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75fb…3d2fbacked Yes | 36c | 105.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…e3c8backed Yes | 35c | 100.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…0a4dbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…23c1backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc366…e150backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 36c | 81.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad61…cbe0backed Yes | 36c | 80.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 14c | 79.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 42c | 64.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…395dbacked No | 55c | 63.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…42f0backed Yes | 36c | 58.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f19…bf1ebacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…b3ffbacked Yes | 48c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 59c | 51.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1862…8b0fbacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…ab7abacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d4…0a2fbacked No | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc440…2e0ebacked Yes | 47c | 48.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Yes | 37c | 48.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ad…69f5backed Yes | 45c | 45.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc724…3a19backed No | 53c | 44.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae7…561fbacked Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30f…a161backed No | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f73…04d0backed Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 36c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 77c | 37.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…e4acbacked No | 55c | 37.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06de…cf4cbacked Yes | 36c | 33.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…adf5backed No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e5…9f34backed No | 65c | 32.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740d…2362backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…e221backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…0f06backed Yes | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 44c | 26.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb935…fcd2backed No | 65c | 26.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…29dcbacked Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked No | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf124…9d72backed No | 63c | 23.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…33bfbacked No | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae3d…d42dbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…d10cbacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…5d25backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58b…ef84backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ace…3a5bbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +60%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e92…1245backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a17…d7f8backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8807…8887backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…ab27backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…9110backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…fbf3backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb395…3a1fbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 64c | 17.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9d…38bebacked No | 65c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c3…752abacked No | 64c | 16.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 32 | 93.8%30 W · 2 L | +6.6wins | +0.21per pick | 73cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in IPO and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?this page
- Will Quantinuum not IPO before August 2026?No won
- Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $10B and $13B at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $13B and $16B at market close on IPO day?Yes won
- Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $16B and $19B at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $19B and $22B at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $22B and $25B at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will Quantinuum's market cap be less than $10B at market close on IPO day?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.