Token Launches · resolved market
Zama auction clearing price above $0.08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdda5169c54e64e12d2a34152d52673c8eb1b4668d818a868af16323150d8a724
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c4c…a5f0backed Yes | 3c | 5,046$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.45 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6413…64adbacked Yes | 6c | 2,451$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd771…b902backed Yes | 1c | 1,710$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…6ebbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…1d15backed Yes | 2c | 800$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 1c | 795.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb401…df2abacked Yes | 3c | 728.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 15cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 2c | 700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 124 | 3.2%4 W · 120 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 680.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 2c | 672.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 123 | 4.1%5 W · 118 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 642.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4930…82abbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…db62backed Yes | 12c | 177.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed No | 66c | 156$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +23.4wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7361…7be5backed Yes | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c6…910ebacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…0a3ebacked Yes | 16c | 87.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.08?this page
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?Yes won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.04?Yes won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?No won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.06?No won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.07?No won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.09?No won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.10?No won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.12?No won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.14?No won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.