Token Launches · resolved market
Zama auction clearing price above $0.07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d10633e8d0311d2179f382f5e867387cbe4cd17176cdeb43771ac664b0ce907
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8134…3a6fbacked Yes | 2c | 9,698$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x932f…3d67backed Yes | 6c | 6,447$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 5,975$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.28 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6413…64adbacked Yes | 6c | 5,395$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351d…baedbacked Yes | 0c | 4,728$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4c…a5f0backed Yes | 5c | 4,246$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.52 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…4651backed Yes | 7c | 2,840$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.85 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ce…e13ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,457$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 2c | 1,852$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 1c | 1,787$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb401…df2abacked Yes | 3c | 1,786$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.46 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 15cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…1d15backed Yes | 3c | 1,697$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c99…8627backed Yes | 12c | 1,681$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.44 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4930…82abbacked Yes | 5c | 1,284$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.22 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 1,266$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd771…b902backed Yes | 2c | 1,134$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,102$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 124 | 3.2%4 W · 120 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 4c | 1,100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 123 | 4.1%5 W · 118 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 1c | 1,001$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 233 | 3.4%8 W · 225 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…0d18backed Yes | 1c | 980.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1374…5c0fbacked Yes | 12c | 810.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 3c | 800$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 774.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 209 | 4.3%9 W · 200 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 694.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 2c | 611.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 4c | 473.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 3c | 410$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 75 | 4%3 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d47…1908backed Yes | 6c | 344.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x296d…70f9backed Yes | 11c | 199.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…f572backed No | 65c | 173.33$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 8c | 152.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7361…7be5backed Yes | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +23.4wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.07?this page
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?Yes won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.04?Yes won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?No won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.06?No won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.08?No won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.09?No won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.10?No won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.12?No won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.14?No won
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.