TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

NBA: SGA Award Parlay

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,579
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,782

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,579 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe542…0a37backed No54c17,639$9,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,040.9740133.4%134 W · 267 L+27.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a8a…7699backed Yes45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2501118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-55.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No52c3,254$1,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.1715644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7803…9e91backed Yes44c2,645$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes46c1,989$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.511540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73b8…f6b5backed No49c1,730$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.6728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+374.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba23…6c72backed Yes56c1,337$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.37540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes43c1,293$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.232025%5 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+41.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x725b…8016backed No46c1,046$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.848143.2%35 W · 46 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+42.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Yes36c829.08$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.4718448.9%90 W · 94 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e6e…19a6backed No44c815.45$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+124.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd032…5136backed No55c760$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.611450.9%58 W · 56 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1092…9cfabacked No49c699.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.85257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58f9…40cfbacked Yes52c699.05$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No49c697.96$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.6525840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed Yes16c610$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.67041.4%29 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x463f…e458backed Yes45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x997e…54f5backed Yes40c508.13$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.49450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdfd…8b51backed No61c500$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.87540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3476…8b53backed Yes44c438.64$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7408…0d0abacked Yes44c435.9$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd9c…88e6backed Yes44c431.92$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5550…9f36backed Yes44c430.7$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes45c363$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.352161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+40.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x300c…6a92backed No78c332.01$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.193040%12 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No76c304$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.962433.3%8 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+57.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6de6…d900backed No65c300$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041580%12 W · 3 L+5.2wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+106.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x22ae…920bbacked Yes51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7a8…db62backed No60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70a7…8109backed Yes51c298.14$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No45c286.02$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.0484443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2afa…a29ebacked No58c261.08$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.721656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22dc…7b11backed Yes40c250.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes45c239.89$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.263743.2%16 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No46c236.92$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.5410539%41 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x920e…7873backed No54c220$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.211645.7%53 W · 63 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9c0f…82f6backed Yes51c213.13$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x648f…4b36backed Yes53c208.14$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.69475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8149…4b78backed Yes51c204.31$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x176c…00a0backed Yes51c202.94$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5553…cec7backed Yes51c202.88$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33ee…f163backed Yes51c202.74$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12e6…ba6dbacked Yes51c202.54$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ce3…f779backed Yes45c200$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898947.2%42 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a3…9b79backed No72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f37…d7c2backed Yes51c199.98$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc46d…e948backed Yes51c199.41$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes47c199.29$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.955330.2%16 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e01…a0c9backed Yes51c199.05$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa518…f659backed Yes51c197.25$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa36…9800backed Yes51c196.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc82…16bfbacked Yes51c194.28$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0e8…e1f1backed Yes51c194$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked No53c193.17$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3918632.3%60 W · 126 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bfd…0346backed Yes51c192.95$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7976…f3dcbacked Yes48c172$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6573…a570backed No47c155.54$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3825%2 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick13cpaid-33.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed No36c146.25$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9338239.5%151 W · 231 L+35.9wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+15.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes52c141$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.322540%10 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-37%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c35…2965backed Yes51c127$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.772360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes29c123.55$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.711,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3525…4964backed Yes51c116.73$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dc2…d798backed No44c112.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+125%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x938a…e0edbacked Yes53c110.24$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.885352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39ae…86d4backed No34c109.44$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.23850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x242c…e264backed Yes51c109.43$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc99a…41fabacked Yes51c107.6$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8643…6a52backed Yes51c106.68$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54f5…39c1backed Yes51c106.3$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c1f…c3b4backed Yes51c105.68$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1583…bddebacked Yes53c104.28$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.55580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+31.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a22…8d1ebacked Yes51c103.98$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2c9…1a4bbacked Yes51c103.78$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d970backed Yes54c102.59$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.410843.5%47 W · 61 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes51c99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.493525.7%9 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid+115.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f18…d8f5backed No64c89.09$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.499271.7%66 W · 26 L+11.0wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes55c81.82$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.73145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b7e…4800backed No60c75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9634…aae2backed Yes42c72.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.36633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-49.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd8f…96e2backed Yes51c70.39$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c17…e845backed Yes51c68.19$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7846…a5a8backed Yes51c66.85$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff52…688ebacked Yes51c66.58$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1597…6edebacked No40c66$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.31625%4 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-39.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2258…d54cbacked Yes51c65.49$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d32…be88backed Yes51c65.41$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dac…35ccbacked Yes51c64.33$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3240…f6ebbacked Yes51c63.92$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb3…6c91backed Yes51c63.71$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2210…f167backed Yes51c63.62$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3074…38c8backed Yes51c63.56$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a3f…3a82backed Yes51c63$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a3…8e60backed Yes51c62.55$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda20…cb8dbacked Yes50c62.16$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93a0…74debacked No75c61.55$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.08933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-54%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0cf…cc79backed Yes51c60.45$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20bf…5ba0backed Yes51c60.19$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb924…0803backed Yes51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.61127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-55.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes30c57$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.365630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x82cd…d7d8backed No55c55.29$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.09475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.