Will Egypt go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6840b0659b15c1af99dfbdc16768716d5c479d95d9ca71be5c9233fc6ffc93c

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $7,210
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $7,499

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,210 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5b63…11a4backed No	38c	2,844$1,088 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,087.72	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	75c	1,438$1,082 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$355.8	212	39.6%84 W · 128 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes	26c	835$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$621.58	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes	73c	758.38$551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.26	476	48.5%231 W · 245 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	73c	600$436 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.4	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed Yes	74c	371.74$274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.68	256	38.7%99 W · 157 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No	74c	300$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.3	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	73c	235.53$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.48	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	70c	229$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.67	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7114…6432backed No	24c	119.1$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.64	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+5.0wins	+0.19per pick	34cpaid	+56.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x48f7…f949backed No	26c	116.9$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbc1…49d7backed No	72c	112.9$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.12	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Yes	76c	111$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.86	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes	38c	103.46$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.56	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed No	28c	93.5$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.64	162	46.9%76 W · 86 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2762…2cf6backed Yes	70c	90$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.97	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf96b…9c4cbacked Yes	73c	82.51$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	205	53.7%110 W · 95 L	+21.6wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+25%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Yes	73c	82.2$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.19	434	60.4%262 W · 172 L	+33.5wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfec1…b807backed No	27c	82$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.73	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	26c	70$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.2	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1075…19c1backed No	25c	70$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	82	18.3%15 W · 67 L	-6.0wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x211a…6ef4backed No	38c	70$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	60	36.7%22 W · 38 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No	75c	55$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.25	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes	74c	54.99$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.46	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ee9…197fbacked No	74c	50$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	85	47.1%40 W · 45 L	+6.8wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x18dc…5e90backed No	73c	50$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.7	144	36.1%52 W · 92 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7a8…db62backed No	75c	50$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.56	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes	73c	45$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.29	232	45.7%106 W · 126 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	74c	42.7$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.43	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc80f…93c8backed No	76c	40$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.28	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No	74c	39$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.73	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x306b…179ebacked No	75c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.04	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fa6…3c12backed No	75c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.98	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	68cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83f1…9693backed No	75c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	77cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47e1…e621backed Yes	75c	19.91$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.91	70	72.9%51 W · 19 L	+7.3wins	+0.10per pick	62cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Egypt go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event