Will Canada go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d80a42dd731c58f5e0564492864b4319a0d04b90cfc02008cfb9adacf69eb9a

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,675
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,809

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,675 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes	55c	554.63$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.6	476	48.5%231 W · 245 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed Yes	32c	399.99$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	185	38.9%72 W · 113 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed No	64c	272.82$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.47	47	29.8%14 W · 33 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	59c	239.96$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.24	212	39.6%84 W · 128 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed No	53c	166.04$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.04	624	52.7%329 W · 295 L	+10.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes	60c	160$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2956…d31bbacked No	60c	147.17$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.94	71	42.3%30 W · 41 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Yes	61c	121.35$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.02	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18dc…5e90backed Yes	50c	120$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	144	36.1%52 W · 92 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ee9…197fbacked No	63c	100$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37	85	47.1%40 W · 45 L	+6.8wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca6e…af60backed No	73c	100$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.14per pick	68cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	52c	85.81$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.85	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0xcd02…ab27backed No	56c	80.21$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.56	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked No	56c	80$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.05	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed No	40c	55$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	222	43.7%97 W · 125 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No	41c	51.45$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.36	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed No	40c	50$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed No	42c	50$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29	159	42.1%67 W · 92 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes	58c	50$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	232	45.7%106 W · 126 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed Yes	58c	50$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	162	46.9%76 W · 86 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a57…ac32backed No	52c	46.15$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.15	141	48.2%68 W · 73 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	42c	39.96$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.18	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes	48c	37.33$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.92	130	51.5%67 W · 63 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No	52c	37.33$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.92	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes	49c	25.63$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.56	148	39.2%58 W · 90 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes	58c	21.35$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.38	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec4…cfc8backed Yes	51c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	67cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f79…af92backed Yes	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Canada go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event