Will Ghana go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e7b054be93f11c3631e36c730a33cdb1e876a5403368828508e7acd1d2fe568

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $4,601
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,431

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,601 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5b63…11a4backed No	68c	837.4$569 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268.16	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe73e…f0a4backed Yes	9c	775.43$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.83	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes	47c	502.61$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.18	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed Yes	32c	293.26$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.31	256	38.7%99 W · 157 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Yes	47c	220.29$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.47	95	48.4%46 W · 49 L	+7.4wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Yes	52c	169.23$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	624	52.7%329 W · 295 L	+10.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	43c	165.47$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.88	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Yes	43c	140.44$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	434	60.4%262 W · 172 L	+33.5wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	11c	102$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.22	167	4.2%7 W · 160 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	54c	75$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.8	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	52c	69.82$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.57	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked No	36c	60.19$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.45	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5cd…6055backed Yes	50c	59.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed No	53c	52.5$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.83	162	46.9%76 W · 86 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2762…2cf6backed Yes	42c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.05	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Ghana go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event