Will Cape Verde go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe230ae462f6ca58fd31647e1bb96fdd01c6aa51e0414133f18f9d165824211cd

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $4,077
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,135

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,077 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5b63…11a4backed No	45c	1,816$809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$809.5	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	57c	806.55$458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$348.41	212	39.6%84 W · 128 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes	63c	444.22$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.62	476	48.5%231 W · 245 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Yes	63c	337.99$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.31	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4827…080dbacked Yes	66c	265.69$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.3	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+2.5wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	67c	144.15$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.07	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e9…bf77backed Yes	61c	104.94$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.68	54	50%27 W · 27 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…80c0backed Yes	64c	78.13$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.13	53	86.8%46 W · 7 L	+9.6wins	+0.18per pick	69cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	43c	57.37$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.9	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Yes	60c	55.59$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.24	434	60.4%262 W · 172 L	+33.5wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed No	33c	50$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	159	42.1%67 W · 92 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfec1…b807backed Yes	64c	50$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf96b…9c4cbacked Yes	60c	39.21$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.52	205	53.7%110 W · 95 L	+21.6wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+25%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x47e1…e621backed No	79c	25.3$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	70	72.9%51 W · 19 L	+7.3wins	+0.10per pick	62cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x783e…5a19backed No	57c	22.84$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.95	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2762…2cf6backed Yes	60c	17.75$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.1	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Cape Verde go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event