Will Norway go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf199b7c5a9f0f2e49bc97889280b4504165408204e313f66719e0b2c11ae80e2

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,630
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,613

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,630 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	35c	398$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.34	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No	65c	218.48$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.47	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed No	63c	205$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.85	256	38.7%99 W · 157 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Yes	37c	204$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.48	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes	35c	179$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.65	476	48.5%231 W · 245 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes	37c	164.99$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.05	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09de…cab9backed Yes	32c	157.97$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff67…a1c9backed Yes	37c	157.38$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.73	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x300c…6a92backed Yes	39c	122.82$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.9	108	49.1%53 W · 55 L	+5.9wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No	65c	111$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.85	75	52%39 W · 36 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0855…ae26backed No	65c	61$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.35	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-3.4wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed No	62c	59.7$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.75	254	43.7%111 W · 143 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes	38c	50$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No	61c	30$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.7	148	39.2%58 W · 90 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	38c	29.81$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.33	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Norway go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event