Will Switzerland go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bcad1ca51cae14a003a6efe1a52db12b8539ddcae70d834a6c7548fe3a27dd4

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,284
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,318

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,284 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1ee9…197fbacked No	44c	310.69$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.19	85	47.1%40 W · 45 L	+6.8wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes	57c	175.69$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.94	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5035…cf0dbacked No	42c	120.02$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	96	29.2%28 W · 68 L	-8.5wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes	66c	105$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.2	201	42.8%86 W · 115 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa2…c75fbacked Yes	58c	60.69$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.69	81	44.4%36 W · 45 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2762…2cf6backed Yes	60c	57.36$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.21	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed Yes	69c	56.09$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.23	256	38.7%99 W · 157 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	34c	55$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.7	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes	70c	51$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.3	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes	69c	50$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.5	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	58c	29.02$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.19	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x60a8…7d37backed No	47c	24.18$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.46	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47e1…e621backed Yes	61c	18.03$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.03	70	72.9%51 W · 19 L	+7.3wins	+0.10per pick	62cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Switzerland go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event