Will Colombia go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8473d1bd0f69bc15962e7cf0af25e119f89d034e2c516d1c991074bc5e26af33

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,178
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $5,148

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,178 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes	51c	1,537$788 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$749.38	476	48.5%231 W · 245 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No	53c	1,028$547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$547.08	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	64c	858.38$547 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.41	212	39.6%84 W · 128 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No	43c	540.84$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.35	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	48c	215.62$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.12	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed No	53c	166.04$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	624	52.7%329 W · 295 L	+10.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes	46c	129$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.66	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x300c…6a92backed Yes	48c	105$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.77	108	49.1%53 W · 55 L	+5.9wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	96	44.8%43 W · 53 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0e0…016abacked Yes	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	63	41.3%26 W · 37 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	232	45.7%106 W · 126 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…6b2bbacked No	55c	100$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.5	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Yes	45c	98$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.68	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed No	51c	88.98$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.38	162	46.9%76 W · 86 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74aa…2c3fbacked Yes	47c	66.04$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	51	43.1%22 W · 29 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Yes	47c	66.03$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No	61c	55$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.55	75	52%39 W · 36 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	61c	53$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.33	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x18dc…5e90backed No	47c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	144	36.1%52 W · 92 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7114…6432backed No	46c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+5.0wins	+0.19per pick	34cpaid	+56.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Yes	46c	39.61$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.39	434	60.4%262 W · 172 L	+33.5wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	52c	38$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.94	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No	55c	33.66$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.44	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No	52c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed No	50c	28.48$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.24	256	38.7%99 W · 157 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No	53c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Colombia go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event