Will South Korea go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa32bf9c6a205c847160ede93d803392f7b46ef3dac52de2f73d0bcd60feb019e

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,900
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,907

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,900 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5452…d448backed No	58c	475$274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.1	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x300c…6a92backed No	64c	399$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.43	108	49.1%53 W · 55 L	+5.9wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes	42c	241.04$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.24	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed No	52c	208.32$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.35	256	38.7%99 W · 157 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa2…c75fbacked Yes	49c	205.96$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	81	44.4%36 W · 45 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes	43c	100$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	130	45.4%59 W · 71 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb922…1d3ebacked Yes	46c	84.04$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	+4.3wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x18dc…5e90backed Yes	48c	76$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.65	144	36.1%52 W · 92 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c65…dcf7backed Yes	43c	60$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.8	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe373…4807backed No	54c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…6b2bbacked Yes	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes	45c	40$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	225	43.1%97 W · 128 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes	50c	36$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	130	51.5%67 W · 63 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b43…ce76backed No	58c	22$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.24	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+53.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf1…86b5backed No	57c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.6	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.28per pick	39cpaid	+91.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will South Korea go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event