Will Austria go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cf7a2d2046425c3afeb9ec384a37f72a6b03a1b85349812681f65ff25b0a5f8

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,056
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,060

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,056 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	70c	166$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.14	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	22c	152.99$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.66	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No	76c	143.43$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.51	476	48.5%231 W · 245 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes	30c	80$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Yes	24c	74.13$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.07	95	48.4%46 W · 49 L	+7.4wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaaa2…c75fbacked Yes	29c	68.06$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	81	44.4%36 W · 45 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed Yes	24c	66$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.84	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a72…a2abbacked Yes	29c	66$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.14	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-2.9wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed No	76c	60.25$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.46	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed Yes	22c	55$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	254	43.7%111 W · 143 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No	71c	55$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.95	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Austria go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event