NBA · resolved market
Team World vs. Team USA Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02d5ed856c0cebaf8901d94ddb486a18e0f157cf81567cce19b2930f690cb3fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team USA Starsof Team World, Team USA Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $356,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $433,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $356,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 414 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Team USA Stars | 40c | 46,132$18,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,860.59 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Team World | 60c | 34,846$20,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,920.64 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Team World | 10c | 18,730$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.3 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Team World | 58c | 16,196$9,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,388.36 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Team USA Stars | 41c | 13,382$5,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,910.09 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Team World | 64c | 9,923$6,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,341.46 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Team USA Stars | 34c | 7,913$2,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,222.45 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Team World | 60c | 7,631$4,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,588 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Team World | 62c | 7,000$4,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,309.97 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Team World | 63c | 6,805$4,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,269.86 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Team World | 64c | 6,175$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,949.99 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Team USA Stars | 37c | 5,958$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,778.2 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Team World | 59c | 5,912$3,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,497.93 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Team World | 62c | 5,802$3,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,597.42 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked Team USA Stars | 38c | 5,636$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.52 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129d…3bcabacked Team USA Stars | 42c | 5,257$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0e…6e48backed Team USA Stars | 42c | 5,238$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,038.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe14a…24a6backed Team World | 58c | 5,172$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…585fbacked Team World | 58c | 4,828$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Team USA Stars | 38c | 4,800$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,995.99 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…e101backed Team USA Stars | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Team World | 61c | 4,597$2,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,817.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +663.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Team World | 66c | 4,485$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960.08 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Team USA Stars | 37c | 4,478$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,834.65 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Team World | 65c | 4,445$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,868.87 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked Team USA Stars | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.99 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5d…cc80backed Team USA Stars | 37c | 3,721$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,330.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Team USA Stars | 39c | 3,599$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.38 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c28…59ffbacked Team World | 1c | 3,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team USA Stars | 40c | 3,192$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.57 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Team World | 61c | 3,091$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.84 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Team USA Stars | 33c | 2,805$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.53 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Team USA Stars | 37c | 2,739$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.28 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Team World | 60c | 2,738$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.03 | 426 | 45.5%194 W · 232 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Team USA Stars | 39c | 2,584$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.44 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1909…a2c9backed Team USA Stars | 36c | 2,550$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.69 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154d…a748backed Team World | 1c | 2,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf878…05c1backed Team World | 5c | 2,400$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 13cpaid | +144.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Team USA Stars | 40c | 2,301$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.76 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf68…6b13backed Team World | 1c | 2,300$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Team USA Stars | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.96 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Team World | 59c | 1,685$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…9d33backed Team World | 60c | 1,668$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Team USA Stars | 43c | 1,631$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.82 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Team USA Stars | 39c | 1,586$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.66 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team World | 62c | 1,575$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.98 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x072d…0d35backed Team World | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Team World | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Team USA Stars | 21c | 1,471$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.72 | 244 | 36.1%88 W · 156 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde6b…7178backed Team World | 1c | 1,418$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…fa80backed Team World | 2c | 1,400$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Team USA Stars | 37c | 1,350$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Team World | 51c | 1,330$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.23 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked Team USA Stars | 41c | 1,296$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Team USA Stars | 38c | 1,285$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.53 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdda…2408backed Team World | 1c | 1,200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Team World | 62c | 1,147$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.14 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Team World | 66c | 1,137$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.32 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Team USA Stars | 29c | 1,088$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.35 | 367 | 18.5%68 W · 299 L | -36.8wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Team USA Stars | 38c | 1,076$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.56 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc30b…1b6dbacked Team USA Stars | 41c | 1,057$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.82 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddcb…dec1backed Team World | 57c | 1,050$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…b1bfbacked Team USA Stars | 41c | 1,050$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +189.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a3…fde4backed Team USA Stars | 41c | 1,040$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…a1c1backed Team USA Stars | 39c | 1,033$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.49 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Team World | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.89 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Team USA Stars | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf42…d7b7backed Team World | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Team USA Stars | 39c | 999.97$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.98 | 194 | 41.2%80 W · 114 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d26…3884backed Team USA Stars | 40c | 990$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dee…3d1bbacked Team World | 63c | 969.84$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Team World | 59c | 913.9$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.2 | 113 | 61.9%70 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Team USA Stars | 38c | 855.26$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.26 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7e…8a0fbacked Team USA Stars | 41c | 851.22$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.22 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed Team World | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Team World | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Team USA Stars | 35c | 813.55$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…cbaabacked Team World | 61c | 773.95$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.11 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Team World | 66c | 727.93$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.82 | 338 | 60.9%206 W · 132 L | +23.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Team World | 65c | 719.7$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.8 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked Team World | 62c | 700$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.91 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Team World | 66c | 694.56$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.41 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Team World | 66c | 677.99$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.14 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Team World | 59c | 666.1$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Team World | 61c | 656.39$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Team USA Stars | 38c | 649.98$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.35 | 278 | 48.9%136 W · 142 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b6…bb1cbacked Team World | 62c | 623.19$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.38 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Team World | 61c | 600$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Team USA Stars | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.24 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb3…380ebacked Team USA Stars | 40c | 591.6$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Team USA Stars | 42c | 590.62$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.56 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03d9…e693backed Team World | 4c | 583.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 169 | 0%0 W · 169 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcc…a65ebacked Team World | 59c | 550$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Team USA Stars | 38c | 549.97$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.98 | 244 | 28.7%70 W · 174 L | -22.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x664d…aa7dbacked Team World | 58c | 546.06$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…776bbacked Team World | 60c | 525$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x405e…ed75backed Team USA Stars | 42c | 523.81$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…8fe0backed Team USA Stars | 41c | 517.24$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.17 | 180 | 43.9%79 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Team USA Stars | 45c | 500$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.79 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d4…7dd0backed Team World | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Team World vs. Team USA Starsthis page
- Spread: Team World (-2.5)Team USA Stars won
- Spread: Team World (-3.5)Team USA Stars won
- Team World vs. Team USA Stars: O/U 82.5Under won
- WORLD vs. STARS: O/U 80.5Under won
- WORLD vs. STARS: O/U 81.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.