NBA · resolved market
WORLD vs. STARS: O/U 81.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5aab1423f44ed676b00d5a0f47377e950b22fdfd098f3db7764df2c66bd4650f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 50c | 6,756$3,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,378.54 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Over | 50c | 5,192$2,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,596.01 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 46c | 1,890$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.38 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e46…35efbacked Over | 54c | 1,855$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.48 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Under | 53c | 1,521$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.42 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 50c | 1,008$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 194 | 41.2%80 W · 114 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 49c | 994.02$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.5 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Over | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…b22bbacked Under | 48c | 806.25$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.25 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -7.3wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Over | 20c | 414$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.26 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4425…12efbacked Over | 49c | 392.31$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.31 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Over | 14c | 383$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 51c | 357.14$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 333.04$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.57 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…4fd6backed Over | 55c | 314.46$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Over | 47c | 312.51$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 52c | 298.88$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.63 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…9f0abacked Under | 47c | 287.23$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Over | 53c | 283.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5542…01cebacked Under | 48c | 249.9$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.9 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec1…4e67backed Under | 45c | 249.17$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 52c | 232.19$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.45 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 49c | 230.16$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.78 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Under | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 244 | 28.7%70 W · 174 L | -22.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked Under | 49c | 205.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.56 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 53c | 188.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b5…8ccfbacked Over | 55c | 183.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Under | 47c | 168.09$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e84…4dabbacked Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Over | 49c | 124.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.17 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked Over | 51c | 115.63$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Under | 49c | 115.1$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -6.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…4fa6backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…fc12backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 55c | 86.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Over | 33c | 85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Over | 47c | 82.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Under | 50c | 58.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1213…5ed6backed Over | 51c | 55.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…1d65backed Under | 48c | 53.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dca…ff05backed Under | 46c | 50.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…c4d9backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Over | 51c | 48.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…876dbacked Under | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Under | 62c | 44.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ea…0d10backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 52c | 40.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf71f…3cafbacked Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Over | 48c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 52c | 30.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 410 | 38%156 W · 254 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3207…86d9backed Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Under | 46c | 24.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 51c | 19.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- WORLD vs. STARS: O/U 81.5this page
- Spread: Team World (-2.5)Team USA Stars won
- Spread: Team World (-3.5)Team USA Stars won
- Team World vs. Team USA StarsTeam USA Stars won
- Team World vs. Team USA Stars: O/U 82.5Under won
- WORLD vs. STARS: O/U 80.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.