South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-02-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb55b45133796775e4978361d8c49fde06f0046d474d3d13060123ab5399d4b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 24c | 4,000$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.53 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 3,437$2,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.96 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 3,198$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.55 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 3,072$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.24 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 23c | 2,877$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.49 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 18c | 2,596$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.39 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 25c | 2,231$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.69 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Yes | 22c | 2,060$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 21c | 1,415$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 3c | 668.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 21c | 499.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 78c | 457$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 78c | 432.22$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.83 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked No | 78c | 372.34$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 23c | 308$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.82 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 21c | 285.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…c0acbacked Yes | 24c | 269.79$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 22c | 263$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d21…277dbacked Yes | 22c | 225$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 76c | 224$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 22c | 217$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 24c | 212.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…843bbacked Yes | 23c | 199.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 23c | 178.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 78c | 160$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 76c | 135$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…409ebacked Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7688…497dbacked Yes | 24c | 123.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 76c | 115$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 76c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 76c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…64eebacked Yes | 23c | 87.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…daf0backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…8147backed Yes | 13c | 84.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 76c | 79.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 22c | 71.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x935b…8f4fbacked Yes | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked Yes | 21c | 48.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 76c | 43.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 108 | 80.6%87 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 76c | 42.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 76c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 77c | 30.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201b…9146backed No | 79c | 26.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…195fbacked No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8402…63e4backed No | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-02-12?this page
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-02-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.