South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x206b8699c9d564ffac5b511d4bb5ae9e6316aafb69cae1c759050008c88129e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 32c | 5,058$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.55 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 3,306$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.59 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 68c | 2,372$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.95 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ab…c40ebacked No | 68c | 2,201$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724b…e780backed No | 68c | 870$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 688.39$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.72 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 16c | 485.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 455.53$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.4 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 71c | 354.42$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.07 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 3c | 334$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 33c | 294.19$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.42 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 27c | 220$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0abd…7207backed Yes | 11c | 163.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +121.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed No | 70c | 143.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 80c | 138.97$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 30c | 138.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 126.06$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 16c | 124.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Yes | 25c | 107.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 32c | 103.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce12…0e76backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 64c | 79.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 66c | 67.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 68c | 63.24$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 31c | 62.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 70c | 59.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…44f3backed No | 71c | 55.39$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 31c | 53.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 79c | 50.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 27c | 47.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 29c | 46.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7688…497dbacked Yes | 31c | 40.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 72c | 32.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 67c | 30.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?this page
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-02-12?No won
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-02-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.