TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Ugo Humbert

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Minaurof Minaur, Humbert
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$336,775
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$385,526

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $336,775 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde9f…b8f7backed Minaur69c80,259$55,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,604.3213754.7%75 W · 62 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Humbert30c32,060$9,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,655.981,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Humbert30c30,539$9,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,040.931,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Humbert27c21,765$5,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,935.992,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Humbert18c20,652$3,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,752.162,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb726…0664backed Minaur75c13,412$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,412.021154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Humbert34c12,265$4,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,170.0626545.3%120 W · 145 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Humbert32c10,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.9343051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34ed…cfe3backed Minaur78c7,747$6,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,704.277357.5%42 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Humbert29c6,994$2,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,028.1876140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Humbert30c6,139$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,823.597,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Minaur70c6,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80044360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Minaur69c5,797$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.11,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Minaur66c4,492$2,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.182,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Minaur68c4,417$3,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.396552.3%34 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Minaur68c4,341$2,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.51,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ae2…da95backed Humbert19c3,694$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.856656.1%37 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Humbert27c3,433$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.1481349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Humbert30c3,084$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.276146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Minaur66c3,032$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,03248851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9963…32e4backed Humbert29c3,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8703036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Minaur68c3,000$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.7245457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Humbert34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0203834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23c8…f8bcbacked Humbert35c2,991$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.786026.7%16 W · 44 L-7.6wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Humbert32c2,820$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90139431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Humbert35c2,762$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.767736.4%28 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Minaur76c2,615$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.483,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Humbert31c2,589$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x579b…4a2bbacked Humbert32c2,407$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.64650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Minaur70c2,336$1,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.215862.7%99 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Humbert30c2,239$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.82714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-68.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Humbert18c2,234$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Humbert29c2,058$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.077,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Minaur70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Humbert21c1,871$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.7684736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce6…2e69backed Minaur70c1,736$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.193554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9451…c3f9backed Humbert12c1,682$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006723.9%16 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Humbert30c1,644$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.212450.8%63 W · 61 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d9a…8a4cbacked Humbert14c1,612$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.852343.5%10 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+74.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Minaur73c1,582$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.813260.6%80 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Minaur66c1,523$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.2230241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Minaur71c1,510$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.166949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Minaur67c1,507$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.444146.3%19 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-25.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x763f…81e9backed Minaur70c1,436$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.672759.3%16 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd5d…4183backed Minaur70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.5714250.7%72 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa9…a9bebacked Humbert14c1,401$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Humbert30c1,353$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.924448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Minaur71c1,343$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.91,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb58…a62ebacked Minaur76c1,331$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.421767.7%147 W · 70 L-0.8wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Minaur68c1,176$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.4778152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4cf…3e8cbacked Minaur66c1,066$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.343333.3%11 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Humbert31c1,050$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.51,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea3…b910backed Minaur69c1,041$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.424658.7%27 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99fb…acbabacked Minaur78c1,032$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.9425764.6%166 W · 91 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Humbert30c1,000$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29534745.2%157 W · 190 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0505…db98backed Minaur71c985.92$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.92988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick65cpaid+38.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5ed…d25fbacked Minaur68c979.41$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.415853.4%31 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Minaur78c960.34$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.8349143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Humbert29c935.99$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.4487251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Minaur69c917.62$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.621,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1909…a2c9backed Minaur71c915.49$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.495362.3%33 W · 20 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Humbert30c879$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.722641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeed0…dd5ebacked Minaur70c861.85$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.8510943.1%47 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe786…b716backed Minaur71c833.32$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.819264.1%59 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Humbert32c750$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24011843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Minaur70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.294673.9%34 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d22…ec35backed Minaur80c699$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.8616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-79.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Minaur74c673.84$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.242042.6%179 W · 241 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Humbert32c655.38$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.321,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5067…a127backed Humbert3c655.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010756.1%60 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Humbert29c649$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.2195140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked Humbert20c563.56$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.968825%22 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Humbert30c532.84$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.181,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Humbert31c505$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.851,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd956…3f79backed Humbert21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7203…22d6backed Minaur70c445.38$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.226648.5%32 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad4e…12f1backed Minaur69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Humbert31c386.25$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.64,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Minaur65c386.15$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1547552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Humbert23c372.73$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Minaur68c367.65$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.652552%13 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53fa…1a66backed Minaur70c357.14$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.143275%24 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Minaur68c354.13$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5511859.3%70 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4d0…91acbacked Minaur69c344.1$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6510261.8%63 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3848…776abacked Humbert18c342.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604930.6%15 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7747…8d9bbacked Humbert29c324.41$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9531941.4%132 W · 187 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e31…5e8ebacked Minaur68c322.78$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2913450.7%68 W · 66 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Humbert30c313$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.918548.1%89 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Minaur70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9024055%132 W · 108 L-15.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Minaur76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7246551.2%238 W · 227 L-23.3wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Humbert4c300$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1fd…abf9backed Minaur69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938762.1%54 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcaf…6405backed Minaur68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.125156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88d9…fdd5backed Minaur68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.12812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick45cpaid-81.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1be6…593dbacked Humbert33c293.94$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9730%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b01…36e8backed Minaur68c293.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Humbert35c283.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Minaur71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.691,02650%513 W · 513 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc83…215cbacked Minaur75c266.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.115362.3%33 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43f2…754cbacked Minaur76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.161376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.