Tennis · resolved market
Rio Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Mariano Navone
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb61fa24ba6936e9ceb00fbf6c101d69743b44e52da101400c7e1bbea5e3a5226
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cerundoloof Cerundolo, Navone
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $186,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $209,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Navone | 15c | 23,497$3,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,569.5 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Navone | 30c | 19,007$5,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,791.15 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Navone | 31c | 18,951$5,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,968.01 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Navone | 32c | 14,440$4,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,608.36 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Cerundolo | 68c | 14,315$9,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,580.76 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…09c4backed Navone | 31c | 9,881$3,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,094.14 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Cerundolo | 77c | 9,159$7,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.61 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cerundolo | 77c | 8,346$6,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.77 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Cerundolo | 67c | 7,463$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.69 | 274 | 60.2%165 W · 109 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Navone | 34c | 5,973$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.71 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Cerundolo | 69c | 4,693$3,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.06 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Navone | 32c | 4,444$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.08 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Navone | 36c | 4,285$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.47 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3905…82fcbacked Cerundolo | 70c | 3,017$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.78 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Cerundolo | 69c | 2,903$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.75 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Navone | 25c | 2,674$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.02 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Navone | 30c | 2,655$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.33 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Navone | 31c | 2,352$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.11 | 227 | 23.8%54 W · 173 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Cerundolo | 60c | 2,001$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.44 | 246 | 43.9%108 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0505…db98backed Cerundolo | 68c | 1,985$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.29 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea3…b910backed Cerundolo | 69c | 1,864$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.66 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Navone | 34c | 1,800$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce6…2e69backed Cerundolo | 68c | 1,712$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.78 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Cerundolo | 70c | 1,571$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.42 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Cerundolo | 69c | 1,535$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.85 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fd…abf9backed Cerundolo | 72c | 1,533$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.54 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Cerundolo | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Cerundolo | 69c | 1,450$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.59 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Cerundolo | 62c | 1,447$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.96 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Cerundolo | 62c | 1,383$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.68 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Cerundolo | 68c | 1,313$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.23 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Cerundolo | 73c | 1,279$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.41 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Navone | 31c | 1,221$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.23 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Cerundolo | 75c | 1,170$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.37 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Navone | 32c | 1,167$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.43 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Cerundolo | 70c | 1,165$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.58 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Cerundolo | 69c | 1,156$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.36 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Cerundolo | 69c | 1,080$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.89 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cerundolo | 69c | 1,010$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.1 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Cerundolo | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Cerundolo | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Navone | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Cerundolo | 70c | 958$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.98 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Navone | 2c | 877$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Cerundolo | 59c | 844.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.39 | 196 | 37.2%73 W · 123 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Navone | 32c | 682.81$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.62 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Navone | 31c | 644.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.77 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cerundolo | 79c | 621.69$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.19 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Cerundolo | 69c | 620.29$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Navone | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ec…b81ebacked Cerundolo | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Cerundolo | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 182 | 47.3%86 W · 96 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Navone | 32c | 499.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Navone | 34c | 495.46$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.46 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Cerundolo | 69c | 482.61$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.61 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Cerundolo | 66c | 455.77$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…e88ebacked Cerundolo | 67c | 411.94$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.94 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cerundolo | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc930…64d9backed Cerundolo | 69c | 381.32$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.21 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…b798backed Cerundolo | 67c | 344.21$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Cerundolo | 79c | 330.74$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Navone | 31c | 318.8$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.83 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Navone | 32c | 318.75$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Navone | 12c | 309.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Cerundolo | 63c | 304.76$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 202 | 57.4%116 W · 86 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Cerundolo | 70c | 300.75$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.75 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Cerundolo | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Cerundolo | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Navone | 34c | 294.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x313c…61d9backed Cerundolo | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…a8adbacked Cerundolo | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…c983backed Cerundolo | 68c | 271.43$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.86 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Navone | 24c | 270.47$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37cc…f862backed Navone | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Navone | 32c | 244.81$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.02 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…47c8backed Cerundolo | 69c | 240.59$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.63 | 202 | 61.4%124 W · 78 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Cerundolo | 69c | 235.35$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9da2…ed3abacked Cerundolo | 66c | 234.85$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.85 | 106 | 68.9%73 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Cerundolo | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 146 | 39%57 W · 89 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…6be5backed Cerundolo | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…a1babacked Cerundolo | 68c | 217.29$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Navone | 10c | 208.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9321…ee6bbacked Navone | 37c | 204.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Cerundolo | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa864…e47bbacked Cerundolo | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Navone | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Navone | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 442 | 29.6%131 W · 311 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Navone | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 139 | 23.7%33 W · 106 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1ca9backed Cerundolo | 67c | 190.81$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Navone | 32c | 180$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 273 | 44.7%122 W · 151 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Cerundolo | 63c | 175.07$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Cerundolo | 68c | 172.5$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Navone | 34c | 168.57$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Navone | 31c | 161.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Navone | 32c | 156$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cerundolo | 69c | 154.1$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7c…3a6abacked Cerundolo | 68c | 153.52$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x411c…bb45backed Cerundolo | 69c | 152.17$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…64eebacked Cerundolo | 68c | 147.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a1…403ebacked Cerundolo | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rio Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Mariano Navonethis page
- Cerundolo vs. Navone: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs NavoneCerundolo won
- Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Navone (+1.5)Cerundolo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.