TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Ben Shelton

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sheltonof Fritz, Shelton
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$556,554
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$628,891

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $556,554 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 348 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38c2…d3a7backed Shelton46c49,915$23,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,915.1748851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Fritz55c40,000$22,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,099.966552.3%34 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…b8f7backed Fritz59c38,271$22,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,43013754.7%75 W · 62 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Shelton44c35,694$15,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,988.7176140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Shelton45c25,887$11,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,214.5838133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Fritz67c23,508$15,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,646.295644.6%25 W · 31 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Shelton54c18,726$10,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,563.798,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Shelton44c17,872$7,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,931.061,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Fritz75c17,289$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,00027460.2%165 W · 109 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Fritz54c16,389$8,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,807.837146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Shelton45c10,305$4,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,667.5426545.3%120 W · 145 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Fritz55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,499.9743051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Fritz56c8,934$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0004673.9%34 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Shelton49c8,376$4,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,297.92,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Fritz64c6,996$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50036968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Shelton44c6,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,359.9712147.1%57 W · 64 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Fritz54c5,903$3,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,187.81742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Shelton18c5,694$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,672.1710440.4%42 W · 62 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Fritz56c5,387$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Shelton45c5,128$2,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,821.6421338.5%82 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Fritz55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,75017823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Fritz54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.991822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-50.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Shelton23c3,913$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,013.049737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Shelton37c3,882$1,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,454.282,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc44…e036backed Fritz56c3,559$1,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,984.6611560%69 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Fritz58c3,500$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.9913852.9%73 W · 65 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Shelton36c3,487$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,223.9611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Fritz72c3,435$2,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,487.3820257.4%116 W · 86 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Fritz55c3,390$1,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,872.55658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Shelton37c3,314$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,085.7120653.4%110 W · 96 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Shelton49c3,296$1,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,694.954,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Fritz56c3,275$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,850.424461.4%27 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Fritz56c3,253$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,834.5163247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Fritz55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6506350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Fritz54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.9912147.1%57 W · 64 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3032…9b05backed Fritz17c2,942$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006934.8%24 W · 45 L-9.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Fritz55c2,440$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,34240144.4%178 W · 223 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9e…6838backed Shelton48c2,409$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.533231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Shelton42c2,286$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.6441645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Shelton45c2,252$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.481,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce6…2e69backed Shelton45c2,207$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.263554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Fritz55c2,200$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2103834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c54…09c4backed Shelton46c2,161$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.773342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Shelton21c2,147$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.424643.9%108 W · 138 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Fritz76c2,110$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60013260.6%80 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8758…01e0backed Fritz54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0801330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Fritz73c1,819$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.5965558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Shelton45c1,782$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.131332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Fritz68c1,778$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.430645.1%138 W · 168 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Shelton44c1,646$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.876146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade7…6a55backed Shelton38c1,598$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.573658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Shelton48c1,568$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.0455646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…7be6backed Shelton45c1,500$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.993132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Fritz52c1,471$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.557,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd751…58bdbacked Fritz60c1,449$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8671250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed Fritz56c1,429$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9910547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x216f…03bbbacked Shelton23c1,388$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.368262.2%51 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1909…a2c9backed Fritz52c1,368$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.995362.3%33 W · 20 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Fritz53c1,334$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.8628338.9%110 W · 173 L+0.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Shelton43c1,326$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.116,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Shelton48c1,236$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.7999044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Shelton45c1,188$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.487251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Fritz53c1,164$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.8410138.6%39 W · 62 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99fb…acbabacked Fritz77c1,130$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.2525764.6%166 W · 91 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Shelton45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.118143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Shelton31c1,104$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.6846030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb75e…5130backed Shelton45c1,100$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6055343.4%23 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Shelton47c1,074$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.8628444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Fritz55c1,022$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.573,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Fritz79c1,000$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79060055.7%334 W · 266 L+2.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Fritz56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5605950.8%30 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea81…81b9backed Fritz76c1,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7601060%6 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc537…f385backed Fritz1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10190%0 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked Fritz78c1,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78010557.1%60 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Fritz57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57011353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Shelton46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54057645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Shelton43c999.99$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5701540%6 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb0…4488backed Fritz59c912.81$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Fritz55c910$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.511843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Shelton27c902.26$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.167462.2%46 W · 28 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Fritz56c890.64$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Fritz57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Shelton24c833.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.331,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Shelton26c779.61$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.617618.4%14 W · 62 L-8.9wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-33.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Fritz54c775.76$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.2981349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd5d…4183backed Shelton48c730.83$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.8314250.7%72 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Shelton45c662.06$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.0647946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Shelton38c640.96$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.3923731.6%75 W · 162 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff5e…9c6ebacked Fritz35c634.38$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2191163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+42.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Shelton41c620$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.816133.5%54 W · 107 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Shelton44c620$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.347,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Shelton44c577.8$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.5767239.1%263 W · 409 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Fritz26c568.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15072132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f90…a473backed Shelton44c568.18$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.1812755.9%71 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Shelton45c555.56$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.5616743.7%73 W · 94 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Shelton45c555.56$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.563125.8%8 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-46.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Shelton46c543.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.4838348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Fritz56c536.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021758.1%126 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Shelton43c534.79$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.8343042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Fritz58c513.46$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018543.2%80 W · 105 L-13.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.