Tennis · resolved market
Qatar Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Juncheng Shang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x106d43463e093f873b875a857e7de337abc50834732c96e684ea0dbddf2c64be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Medvedevof Medvedev, Shang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $252,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $320,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Medvedev | 79c | 23,000$18,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,790 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Shang | 21c | 18,279$3,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,921.5 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Shang | 20c | 13,800$2,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,798.99 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Shang | 23c | 13,205$3,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,070.78 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Shang | 17c | 13,021$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.68 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Medvedev | 76c | 12,980$9,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,118 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Medvedev | 77c | 11,000$8,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530 | 274 | 60.2%165 W · 109 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Shang | 21c | 9,497$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.38 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Medvedev | 77c | 7,060$5,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.2 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Shang | 22c | 5,837$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.47 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shang | 23c | 5,537$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.27 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Medvedev | 77c | 5,162$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.94 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Shang | 20c | 4,401$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.04 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Shang | 23c | 4,294$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.24 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Shang | 20c | 4,091$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.72 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Shang | 23c | 3,304$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.81 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Medvedev | 79c | 3,203$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.54 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Medvedev | 77c | 2,597$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.4 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…fef0backed Medvedev | 78c | 2,548$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.87 | 226 | 34.5%78 W · 148 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Shang | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Medvedev | 78c | 2,458$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.83 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Shang | 1c | 2,454$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Medvedev | 79c | 2,453$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.6 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Medvedev | 77c | 2,322$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.06 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fb…acbabacked Medvedev | 79c | 2,320$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.15 | 257 | 64.6%166 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Medvedev | 78c | 2,306$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.41 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Medvedev | 79c | 2,168$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.6 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Shang | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Medvedev | 78c | 1,922$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.7 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed Medvedev | 78c | 1,763$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.96 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -9.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Shang | 23c | 1,695$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.89 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Medvedev | 80c | 1,592$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.57 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Shang | 22c | 1,430$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.91 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Shang | 22c | 1,422$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.39 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Medvedev | 79c | 1,378$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.48 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…7984backed Medvedev | 80c | 1,324$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.03 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce6…2e69backed Medvedev | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Shang | 22c | 1,228$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.83 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x763f…81e9backed Medvedev | 78c | 1,200$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d8…e7d2backed Medvedev | 79c | 1,170$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.24 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Shang | 23c | 1,131$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.46 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Shang | 21c | 1,111$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.31 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Medvedev | 78c | 1,015$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.47 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Shang | 23c | 1,003$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Medvedev | 75c | 948.01$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.96 | 246 | 43.9%108 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed Medvedev | 80c | 877.65$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.65 | 144 | 75%108 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…6c1ebacked Shang | 3c | 800$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Shang | 21c | 625$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.95 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Shang | 18c | 610$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Shang | 23c | 571.15$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed Medvedev | 79c | 521.52$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.52 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Shang | 20c | 520.83$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.75 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Shang | 11c | 513.82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fd…abf9backed Medvedev | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.25 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Shang | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Shang | 23c | 450$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53fa…1a66backed Medvedev | 78c | 449.28$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.84 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…a473backed Medvedev | 78c | 448.72$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.72 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ab…b0b3backed Shang | 23c | 402.74$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.63 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Shang | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…6fd3backed Medvedev | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Shang | 25c | 382.8$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Shang | 22c | 356.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Shang | 22c | 349.19$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.82 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Shang | 22c | 322.63$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Medvedev | 77c | 321.66$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Medvedev | 79c | 320.24$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.59 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Shang | 21c | 310$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Medvedev | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 240 | 55%132 W · 108 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Medvedev | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d0…26c7backed Medvedev | 75c | 293$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Shang | 22c | 285.03$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.53 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Shang | 4c | 274.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Medvedev | 79c | 266.71$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.01 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | -27.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Shang | 23c | 264$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Shang | 15c | 263.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…075ebacked Medvedev | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…a127backed Medvedev | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Shang | 22c | 259.09$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Medvedev | 78c | 258.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…c983backed Medvedev | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Medvedev | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe81c…a724backed Medvedev | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Medvedev | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 178 | 63.5%113 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…27f4backed Shang | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Shang | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Medvedev | 78c | 229.49$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Shang | 22c | 229.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 307 | 41.7%128 W · 179 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73ca…ff89backed Medvedev | 77c | 213.42$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.42 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Shang | 8c | 202.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Medvedev | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Shang | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Medvedev | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…275ebacked Shang | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Shang | 7c | 199.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…e82bbacked Medvedev | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Shang | 24c | 175.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Medvedev | 80c | 172.33$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 482 | 42.5%205 W · 277 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Medvedev | 76c | 156.88$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ec…b81ebacked Medvedev | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qatar Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Juncheng Shangthis page
- Medvedev vs. Shang: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Medvedev vs. Shang: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Medvedev vs. Shang: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Medvedev vs. Shang: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Medvedev vs ShangMedvedev won
- Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Shang (+1.5)Medvedev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.