TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Marin Cilic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fritzof Fritz, Cilic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$270,248
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$302,495

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,248 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde9f…b8f7backed Fritz63c53,105$33,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,477.713754.7%75 W · 62 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Cilic37c17,214$6,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,437.1976146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Fritz62c16,080$9,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,090.581,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Cilic18c10,279$1,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,841.452,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Cilic23c9,300$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1301,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cilic43c8,445$3,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,597.7111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Cilic37c8,023$2,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,938.9638133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Cilic37c7,925$2,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,933.1878152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Cilic37c7,577$2,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,777.5124448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Fritz79c7,336$5,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.652,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Fritz65c7,000$4,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,422.6718756.1%105 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Fritz63c7,000$4,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,59044360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Fritz73c5,432$3,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,451.218,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Cilic38c5,245$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00027460.2%165 W · 109 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Fritz79c5,015$3,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.065658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Fritz64c4,580$2,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.451,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Cilic37c4,424$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,656.441,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x216f…03bbbacked Fritz71c4,387$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.258262.2%51 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Fritz66c3,888$2,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.9115665.4%102 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Fritz67c3,851$2,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.1365558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Cilic37c3,658$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.087,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Cilic34c3,315$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.820653.4%110 W · 96 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Cilic39c3,306$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.136331.7%20 W · 43 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Cilic36c3,289$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.831,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Cilic38c3,219$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.0481349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Cilic35c2,762$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.871,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Fritz63c2,698$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.411,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Cilic37c2,431$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.4731332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Cilic35c2,308$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.348552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cilic32c2,276$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.957,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Cilic17c2,244$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.4628444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x241a…a9c8backed Cilic46c2,100$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.327248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Cilic12c2,083$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25072132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Fritz54c2,010$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.96,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Cilic38c1,821$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.3162545.4%284 W · 341 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Fritz75c1,764$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.5333556.7%190 W · 145 L-27.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Cilic37c1,683$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.0221338.5%82 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Cilic36c1,586$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.6655646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Fritz61c1,565$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.476140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce6…2e69backed Fritz65c1,530$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.153554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Fritz58c1,237$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.264,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Fritz73c1,207$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.4222953.3%122 W · 107 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c2c…90d4backed Fritz68c1,186$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.5223454.7%128 W · 106 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Cilic23c1,062$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.0865157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Fritz64c1,012$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.232,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed Cilic39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39013560.7%82 W · 53 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Cilic43c927.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Fritz54c880$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.847057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31c8…f2d8backed Cilic14c830$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.27632.9%25 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ea3…b910backed Fritz62c807.42$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.424658.7%27 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Fritz63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.654673.9%34 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Fritz63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.654461.4%27 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Cilic19c792$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.381,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Fritz64c777.89$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.1949143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Fritz62c739.82$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.041,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Cilic38c711.01$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.5614949.7%74 W · 75 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Fritz61c703.98$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.5587251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05a3…14f4backed Fritz70c700$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2104557.8%26 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0bc…b904backed Cilic14c676.47$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Fritz61c628.55$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.223,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Cilic36c600$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2184,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Cilic39c600$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23437339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Fritz68c588.96$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.9647946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe786…b716backed Fritz72c558.67$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.439264.1%59 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Cilic34c523.32$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.9330645.1%138 W · 168 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Cilic32c517.13$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.646,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1fd…abf9backed Fritz63c499.99$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1858762.1%54 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed Fritz63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1921454.7%117 W · 97 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Cilic37c469.75$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.111,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Fritz61c427.01$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.537546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Cilic32c417.35$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.662,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Cilic36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1449643.8%42 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Fritz63c389.4$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.9312952.7%68 W · 61 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Cilic18c388.89$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Cilic37c378.38$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14043448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Cilic37c374.91$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.7223126%60 W · 171 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Fritz61c356.05$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.8646649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Cilic36c347.22$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12575262%466 W · 286 L+25.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7747…8d9bbacked Cilic18c341.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6031941.4%132 W · 187 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Fritz62c335$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.9497046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f97…a9b3backed Cilic31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026227.9%73 W · 189 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5067…a127backed Fritz63c317.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.510756.1%60 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Cilic37c307.97$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9512450.8%63 W · 61 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Fritz62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11422737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ec…b81ebacked Fritz64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.56259.7%37 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Fritz63c271.76$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.568350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4526…783ebacked Cilic15c269$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.59944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick27cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Cilic37c262.97$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.347552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Fritz67c256.72$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7216665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Cilic39c232.19$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Fritz62c225$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.518548.1%89 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8c…b52cbacked Fritz62c209.68$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.686737.3%25 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Cilic37c208$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0428747.7%137 W · 150 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…d11fbacked Fritz58c204.32$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.068853.4%47 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdefa…e9e3backed Fritz64c203$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.083855.3%21 W · 17 L+6.8wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+60.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Cilic38c202$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.765547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed Fritz62c201.61$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6138951.9%202 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…7be6backed Cilic36c199.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb78a…61c4backed Fritz71c196.95$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3415364.1%98 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cilic43c191.32$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6588455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.