TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rio Open: Cristian Garin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tiranteof Garin, Tirante
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$126,324
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,975

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,324 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Tirante73c21,460$15,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,829.532,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Garin42c14,992$6,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,256.055644.6%25 W · 31 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Garin34c8,205$2,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,754.9655646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Garin12c5,947$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.572,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Tirante61c4,979$3,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,922.4981349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Garin19c4,450$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8509737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Tirante57c3,513$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.9335247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Garin45c3,338$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50016746.1%77 W · 90 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Garin16c3,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50068026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Tirante79c3,116$2,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.751,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tirante73c2,786$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.878,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ed…d25fbacked Garin28c2,679$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7505853.4%31 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Garin19c2,067$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.652,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ce…99f6backed Garin25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017936.9%66 W · 113 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Garin52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04057645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe786…b716backed Tirante70c1,923$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.119264.1%59 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Garin54c1,652$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90048851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Tirante48c1,525$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7931,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Tirante68c1,509$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.693,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Garin50c1,417$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.51,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Garin18c1,060$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.816133.5%54 W · 107 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Garin50c1,043$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.661,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Garin49c1,022$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.8943051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Garin49c1,006$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.0733241.6%138 W · 194 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3905…82fcbacked Tirante50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005563.6%35 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd5d…4183backed Garin53c935.27$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014250.7%72 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Tirante59c873.84$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.992,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Tirante58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.071,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Garin32c796.78$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25116665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Garin52c759.62$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39526158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tirante69c747.67$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.197,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Garin17c731.22$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.1928933.2%96 W · 193 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tirante51c624.35$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.931,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Tirante57c575.66$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.2749143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x795f…fbdabacked Garin9c507.11$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6411417.5%20 W · 94 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Garin24c484.38$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11511530.4%35 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tirante47c480$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.581,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Tirante49c470.53$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.011,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Garin36c451.25$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1621,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4892…27bcbacked Garin27c411.11$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1113056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Garin49c408.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20039431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Tirante45c389.87$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.437,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tirante55c338.76$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.4411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Garin22c334.52$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.591,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8612…6a0abacked Tirante73c328.77$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.778145.7%37 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Garin33c326.33$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10967836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Garin50c301.54$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-43.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Tirante49c299$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.4981047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Garin5c251$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.352037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Tirante47c250$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.512450.8%63 W · 61 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Tirante49c237.43$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.0932842.7%140 W · 188 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9266…8f3cbacked Tirante55c226.24$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9625556.1%143 W · 112 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Garin18c222.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Tirante50c214.14$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.071,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Tirante52c207.69$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.6919653.6%105 W · 91 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64f8…8cadbacked Garin50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003842.1%16 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe575…8b12backed Garin39c200$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777941.8%33 W · 46 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed45…3de8backed Tirante50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Garin6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1213923.7%33 W · 106 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Tirante50c198$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.11,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7747…8d9bbacked Garin21c192.07$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4131941.4%132 W · 187 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Tirante51c180$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.227344.7%122 W · 151 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1362…16ccbacked Garin30c156.94$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.54540%18 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked Garin52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.526247.7%125 W · 137 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Garin24c147$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.891,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c7f…445abacked Garin24c134.71$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.33425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a52…06cbbacked Tirante47c125.68$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7117056.5%96 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcec6…db44backed Garin20c109.25$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Tirante52c105.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7725950.2%130 W · 129 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5661…6323backed Tirante65c100.8$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3810267.6%69 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Garin49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4916044.4%71 W · 89 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Tirante51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4946649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Garin48c99.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.991,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbda…f10fbacked Garin32c92.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-63%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa79a…8f08backed Garin30c80$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.61428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Garin34c75.72$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.744,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Garin38c74.85$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.793834.2%13 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-48.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ef0…a376backed Tirante49c71.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.657041.4%29 W · 41 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0a0…d84fbacked Garin38c68.39$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.082931%9 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-50.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Garin25c68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1733326.4%88 W · 245 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Tirante51c67.33$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.887,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…64eebacked Tirante59c61.02$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.024269%29 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Garin30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Garin50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3039850%199 W · 199 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Tirante51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8253058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Garin34c58.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.023,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Tirante48c58.46$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.434745.2%157 W · 190 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Tirante52c56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8855241.3%228 W · 324 L-2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd286…4c1bbacked Tirante53c52.94$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.888848.9%43 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4934…cca1backed Garin49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258463.1%53 W · 31 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Tirante51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.53,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xece6…2854backed Garin31c48.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.97520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-72.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab50…6e96backed Garin53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255350.9%27 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb10b…ec5ebacked Garin41c44.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.965149%25 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26ec…da98backed Tirante46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4811165.8%73 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59d0…a871backed Tirante47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5517354.3%94 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Tirante64c42$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3114949.7%74 W · 75 L-13.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Garin52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.81,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Tirante52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.462,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Garin52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.