TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x26ec…da98

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
378
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Serie A, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 61 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT11165.8%73 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 111 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halysbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Roland Garros WTA: Simona Waltert vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Terence Atmanebacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Mariano Navonebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.61
Miami Open: Luciano Darderi vs Martin Landalucebacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Miami Open: Casper Ruud vs Ethan Quinnbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.54
BNP Paribas Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.97
BNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
BNP Paribas Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoebacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
BNP Paribas Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
Mexican Open: Yibing Wu vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Dubai Tennis Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$21.3
Mexican Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Flavio Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16
Dubai Tennis Championships: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Jiri Leheckabacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$15.6
Dubai Tennis Championships: Jenson Brooksby vs Karen Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Mexican Open: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Flavio Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+26.6%+$7.97
Chile Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Cristian Garinbacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Chile Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Ignacio Busebacked Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Dubai Tennis Championships: Otto Virtanen vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+78.6%+$17.6
Showing 25 of 111 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10353.4%55 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.23
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$210
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+93.2%+$23.31
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.14
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$17.7
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT4557.8%26 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.04
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.22
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.74
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$23.74
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+44.1%+$22.04
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$16.25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$13.46
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+78.2%+$27.37
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$21.2
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$28.82
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+37%+$8.1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+28.2%+$6.6
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2564%16 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$23.88
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$97.5
Will Girona FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21.72
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+163.2%+$18.6
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$22.63
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.2
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.8
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+38.9%+$8.4
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.9
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$13.99
All 25 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$73.45
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.89
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.24
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.43
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.18
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$12.31
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+56.3%+$14.06
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$21.6
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+41.4%+$16.57
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.7
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+69.5%+$16.4
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+25%+$10
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.18
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+47.1%+$11.76
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+127.3%+$25.45
All 22 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-31%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Platense win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA River Plate: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$5.52
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.9
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will CF Pachuca vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Santos FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-02-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.9
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-02-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 15 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1392.3%12 W · 1 L+3.7wins+0.28per pick64cpaid+56.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Serie A — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$29.52
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.4
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+51.5%+$15.45
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.6
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+47.1%+$7.06
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+44.9%+$9.3
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14.8
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.06
All 13 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.09
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$9.1
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+25%+$6
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$6.6
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.7
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$73.45
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+217.6%+$253.27
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Will Kast win by 20% to 25%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+29.4%+$44.13
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$163.04
All 8 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$9.88
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$10
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$94.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$6.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York Red Bulls vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.