South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b670d9fded4ea8c1f88e9b927b0add48509770b6836659f57bcaa9cf7241864
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 77c | 1,210$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.61 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed No | 28c | 1,139$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.98 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8b…cb2cbacked No | 17c | 1,029$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.03 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 74c | 620.45$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.6 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed No | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 71c | 599.2$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.33 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 71c | 549.65$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.4 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…8a8bbacked Yes | 74c | 493.24$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…920dbacked No | 13c | 484.14$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.81 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 28c | 453.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.93 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed No | 29c | 436.34$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 26c | 373.14$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked No | 15c | 344.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed No | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed No | 15c | 322.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…2410backed No | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 71c | 306.55$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.9 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3006…2c59backed No | 15c | 284.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…0242backed No | 15c | 250.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked No | 30c | 247$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 24c | 234.52$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Yes | 79c | 211.59$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed No | 25c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed Yes | 76c | 187.44$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 72c | 177.36$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 23c | 150.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 26c | 140$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…da8ebacked No | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x111a…2c97backed No | 30c | 115.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed No | 15c | 97.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7faf…e2b5backed No | 13c | 95.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 71c | 90.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 16c | 83.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…e954backed No | 29c | 79.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 24c | 78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Yes | 70c | 65.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 29c | 64.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Yes | 75c | 57.57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked No | 25c | 55.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 124 | 14.5%18 W · 106 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…3b1bbacked Yes | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed No | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 70c | 49.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Yes | 73c | 48.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed No | 29c | 44.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…b2a8backed Yes | 74c | 40.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed No | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca1c…bf99backed No | 29c | 39.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 29c | 39.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 72c | 34.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520c…51a8backed Yes | 72c | 27.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…b2a6backed Yes | 77c | 26.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes | 76c | 25.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26ec…da98backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec49…9839backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 70c | 18.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…c84cbacked Yes | 77c | 13.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-26?this page
- Will CD Cuenca win on 2026-05-26?No won
- Will Santos FC vs. CD Cuenca end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.