TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$415,584
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$463,579

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $415,584 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 343 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xccb2…8586backed Yes60c128,427$77,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,376.074100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No40c61,979$24,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,791.567938%30 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No40c33,500$13,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,399.961233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Yes75c32,956$24,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,333.511872.2%13 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick73cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No38c30,760$11,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,690.412,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No25c28,227$7,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,191.696437.5%24 W · 40 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No27c27,600$7,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,451.995736.8%21 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x87a1…b6babacked Yes73c20,548$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,547.954070%28 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No26c19,615$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1002268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+44.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb52b…b156backed No41c12,148$4,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,980.65650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes74c10,500$7,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7303154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Yes74c7,749$5,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,014.761566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b1c…6535backed No26c6,355$1,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,654.212339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes74c6,173$4,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,605.1448144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes74c5,948$4,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,563.5768750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Yes73c5,000$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3503860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes57c4,700$2,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,020.996442.2%27 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No26c4,346$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.0240447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b91…06c4backed Yes58c4,304$2,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.611040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No26c3,850$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.975738.6%22 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xded4…1e6dbacked Yes75c3,684$2,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9211376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+28.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No40c3,288$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.736744.8%30 W · 37 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed No26c3,122$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.713026.7%8 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked No26c3,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Yes65c3,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0501241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes69c2,848$1,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.433250%16 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3bd…c88dbacked Yes75c2,535$1,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.791070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed No27c2,352$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.141338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes73c2,170$1,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.788042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No26c2,080$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.1340549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7447…c413backed Yes75c1,814$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No8c1,668$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.66132.8%20 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No26c1,500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39036630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No27c1,449$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.6241854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.8633357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes59c1,346$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.934641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No26c1,330$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.85641.1%23 W · 33 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+48.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No39c1,264$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.516838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45fb…aad0backed Yes58c1,238$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.93540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes74c1,236$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.3235646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No35c1,232$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.3722743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No40c1,227$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.0434643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked No27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-60.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No36c1,105$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.531,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed No33c1,022$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.374837.5%18 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4006040%24 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+40.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27046047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27010038%38 W · 62 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes64c989$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.193571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9a35…5e52backed Yes58c861.62$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.88540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c54…efa4backed Yes59c847.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.45887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick57cpaid+51.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No42c833.33$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35017744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No27c821.28$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.7521054.3%114 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No15c795.7$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2149137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No40c699.29$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.219149.5%45 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+110.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Yes66c670.19$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.732744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes60c666.67$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.6719353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes75c660.99$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.2726241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7334…f912backed Yes69c647.39$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.69475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed No40c624.08$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.734524.4%11 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes71c605.15$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.4744753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes69c572.56$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.343542.9%15 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes57c560$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.8887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick60cpaid+50.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Yes72c555.56$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.568757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No41c553.85$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.8493252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No36c546.56$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.3351139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e5…5227backed Yes57c521.85$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick31cpaid+180.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.4714748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Yes75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1258552.9%45 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes65c500$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17410757%61 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555518.2%10 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc550…8e46backed No26c499.98$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.20per pick39cpaid-52.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes73c499.97$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.6624953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes78c497$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.345967.8%40 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes74c482.97$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.454623.9%11 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No27c477.4$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.926040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No27c453.8$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7598544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d4e…e462backed No27c435.74$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.65520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-47.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Yes69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.781450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes73c423.29$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2933951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x838a…add1backed Yes69c420$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec15…86abbacked Yes74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.41966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x511a…9745backed Yes75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001275%9 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1681957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe473…755abacked Yes75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick69cpaid-27.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes68c370$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1191275%9 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes73c365$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5513752.6%72 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No30c360.37$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.111833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed No28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006848.5%33 W · 35 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+23.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Yes65c353.03$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.034858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc377…c730backed Yes58c339.66$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes74c338.14$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.926050%30 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1b0…1846backed Yes74c337.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.841471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.333256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b1a…6258backed Yes60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.33955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes74c325.98$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.9810259.8%61 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02b6…fbbbbacked No27c323.7$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-46%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb925…69d4backed No27c320$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes65c308.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3834553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8116842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.